{"punk":1092,"name":"CryptoPunk #1092","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1092","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1092.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Spots","Blonde Short","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":35.922,"usd":87042,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.6829,"high_eth":39.4821,"low_usd":79193,"high_usd":95668},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7359,"high_eth":43.395,"low_usd":72053,"high_usd":105150},"sigma_log":0.0945,"multiple_of_floor":1.182,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T09:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":35.922,"usd":87042,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.6829,"high_eth":39.4821,"low_usd":79193,"high_usd":95668},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7359,"high_eth":43.395,"low_usd":72053,"high_usd":105150},"sigma_log":0.0945,"multiple_of_floor":1.182,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T09:04:35.000Z","block":26354795,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T09:04:35.000Z","block":26354795,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":23.3,"beta":0.2095,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":14.7},{"pct":-2.9,"beta":-0.0292,"term":"attr:Blonde Short","label":"Blonde Short","sales_12m":22,"weighted_sales":9.4},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0225,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110,"weighted_sales":14.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.15,"date":"2017-11-28","block":4634775,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":65.1214},{"eth":0.23,"date":"2018-10-25","block":6578320,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":51.7756},{"eth":2.06,"date":"2020-01-04","block":9215524,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":136.0943},{"eth":12,"date":"2021-02-05","block":11793167,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":259,"adjusted_eth":71.2266},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2021-03-05","block":11979874,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":118,"adjusted_eth":52.2194},{"eth":27.5,"date":"2021-03-18","block":12062827,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":83,"adjusted_eth":38.6016},{"eth":88,"date":"2021-08-26","block":13103008,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":82,"adjusted_eth":34.9721},{"eth":90,"date":"2021-12-02","block":13724588,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":1,"adjusted_eth":36.9608}],"comparables":[{"eth":33.1,"date":"2026-09-29","punk":5745,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.0361,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-07-13","punk":5745,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9051,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.5,"date":"2026-02-10","punk":5860,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0591,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":55.9,"date":"2025-08-09","punk":8605,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9041,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.49,"date":"2025-05-26","punk":3038,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8446,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.8,"date":"2025-03-13","punk":3038,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9229,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.5,"date":"2024-12-15","punk":2222,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3979,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.88,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":874,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8017,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.1578,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Spots","sales_12m":14}],"summary":["Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.4 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1092","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}