{"punk":1184,"name":"CryptoPunk #1184","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1184","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1184.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Mole","Crazy Hair"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.4903,"usd":73880,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.9918,"high_eth":33.2119,"low_usd":67826,"high_usd":80475},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.698,"high_eth":36.1763,"low_usd":62268,"high_usd":87658},"sigma_log":0.0855,"multiple_of_floor":1.0033,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4903,"usd":73880,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.9918,"high_eth":33.2119,"low_usd":67826,"high_usd":80475},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.698,"high_eth":36.1763,"low_usd":62268,"high_usd":87658},"sigma_log":0.0855,"multiple_of_floor":1.0033,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":11,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":11,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":101.6},{"pct":-6.7,"beta":-0.0698,"term":"attr:Mole","label":"Mole","sales_12m":89,"weighted_sales":22.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":135,"date":"2021-10-03","block":13343524,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":27,"adjusted_eth":33.6642},{"eth":64,"date":"2022-03-06","block":14335421,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":53,"adjusted_eth":29.0509},{"eth":64,"date":"2022-03-10","block":14361648,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":42,"adjusted_eth":29.2475},{"eth":72.97,"date":"2022-03-11","block":14368469,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":24,"adjusted_eth":29.967},{"eth":46,"date":"2023-08-02","block":17828678,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":495,"adjusted_eth":29.1602},{"eth":55.99,"date":"2023-11-10","block":18537968,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":64,"adjusted_eth":28.8396},{"eth":25,"date":"2024-08-05","block":20460328,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":252,"adjusted_eth":35.4196},{"eth":27,"date":"2024-10-07","block":20915214,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":485,"adjusted_eth":29.5367},{"eth":27.99,"date":"2024-10-10","block":20937223,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":238,"adjusted_eth":30.5977},{"eth":34,"date":"2024-11-15","block":21190656,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":166,"adjusted_eth":27.1982},{"eth":37.99,"date":"2024-11-15","block":21196160,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":82,"adjusted_eth":30.39}],"comparables":[{"eth":34,"date":"2026-09-01","punk":5151,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.3197,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.5,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":5151,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.0559,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.936,"date":"2026-06-11","punk":5151,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.1855,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44,"date":"2026-01-24","punk":7210,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":49.0701,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":89,"date":"2025-03-23","punk":7060,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":67.6347,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":59,"date":"2025-01-24","punk":7060,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":43.8496,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.93,"date":"2025-01-03","punk":7210,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.0334,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.98,"date":"2024-12-27","punk":7210,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.3112,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0603,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Crazy Hair","sales_12m":59}],"summary":["Estimate 30.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.0 to 33.2 ETH, 2σ range 25.7 to 36.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Mole -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1184","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}