{"punk":1628,"name":"CryptoPunk #1628","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1628","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1628.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Hot Lipstick","Stringy Hair"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":30.7695,"usd":69958,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.2102,"high_eth":32.4121,"low_usd":66413,"high_usd":73693},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.7299,"high_eth":34.1424,"low_usd":63047,"high_usd":77627},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0125,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":30.3645,"usd":69038,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.8257,"high_eth":31.9855,"low_usd":65539,"high_usd":72723},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.3649,"high_eth":33.693,"low_usd":62218,"high_usd":76605},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0125,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":58.068,"ask_usd":140704,"z":12.21,"z_text":"12.2σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-09-08T18:53:59.000Z","days_listed":423},"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":53.2},{"pct":-2.5,"beta":-0.0256,"term":"attr:Stringy Hair","label":"Stringy Hair","sales_12m":99,"weighted_sales":12.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":15,"date":"2021-03-30","block":12142438,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":222,"adjusted_eth":25.7351},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-07-30","block":12923962,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":232,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":21,"date":"2024-08-07","block":20473108,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":228,"adjusted_eth":28.9559},{"eth":23.5,"date":"2024-08-20","block":20569980,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":59,"adjusted_eth":24.4032},{"eth":27.5,"date":"2024-09-02","block":20663991,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":59,"adjusted_eth":29.6877},{"eth":26.5,"date":"2024-09-03","block":20670362,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":106,"adjusted_eth":28.4037},{"eth":29.83,"date":"2024-09-08","block":20706633,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":385,"adjusted_eth":30.0404},{"eth":44.44,"date":"2025-08-28","block":23238406,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":109,"adjusted_eth":28.5448},{"eth":44.935,"date":"2025-08-28","block":23239691,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":6,"adjusted_eth":28.8627},{"eth":48.39,"date":"2025-09-08","block":23320291,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":29.9838}],"comparables":[{"eth":27.1,"date":"2026-04-08","punk":5863,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.7692,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27,"date":"2026-04-05","punk":5863,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.1352,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45.6366,"date":"2025-09-23","punk":5467,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4395,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.98,"date":"2025-03-31","punk":6481,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.6729,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.99,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":209,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.018,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40,"date":"2024-12-01","punk":209,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.9042,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2024-11-15","punk":209,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6032,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.37,"date":"2024-11-15","punk":4100,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5006,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0018,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Hot Lipstick","sales_12m":88}],"summary":["Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.2 to 32.4 ETH, 2σ range 27.7 to 34.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Stringy Hair -3%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1628","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}