{"punk":1722,"name":"CryptoPunk #1722","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1722","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1722.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Normal Beard Black","Fedora","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":38.1527,"usd":92447,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.0247,"high_eth":42.7816,"low_usd":82445,"high_usd":103663},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3434,"high_eth":47.972,"low_usd":73525,"high_usd":116240},"sigma_log":0.1145,"multiple_of_floor":1.2554,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":38.1527,"usd":92447,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.0247,"high_eth":42.7816,"low_usd":82445,"high_usd":103663},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3434,"high_eth":47.972,"low_usd":73525,"high_usd":116240},"sigma_log":0.1145,"multiple_of_floor":1.2554,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":69.9,"ask_usd":156281,"z":5.29,"z_text":"5.3σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-05-18T06:34:59.000Z","days_listed":537},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":25,"date":"2021-03-22","block":12090502,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":94,"adjusted_eth":37.061},{"eth":32,"date":"2021-04-08","block":12201224,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":267,"adjusted_eth":49.3895},{"eth":33.75,"date":"2021-05-03","block":12360352,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":229,"adjusted_eth":50.2283},{"eth":36.75,"date":"2021-07-14","block":12827512,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":114,"adjusted_eth":57.0103}],"comparables":[{"eth":39.9,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":7368,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.9917,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.7,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":4233,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.3178,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49,"date":"2025-10-27","punk":7012,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":38.1823,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":51.5,"date":"2025-10-09","punk":2835,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.3031,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":65.95,"date":"2025-07-28","punk":7012,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.1289,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54,"date":"2025-01-27","punk":4233,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.1335,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":9585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9696,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":2303,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.9783,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.1639,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Normal Beard Black","sales_12m":21},{"attribute":"Fedora","sales_12m":18},{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 38.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.0 to 42.8 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 48.0 ETH, confidence Low, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1722","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}