{"punk":1760,"name":"CryptoPunk #1760","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1760","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1760.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Cap","Cigarette","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":37.2819,"usd":83354,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.5126,"high_eth":41.4751,"low_usd":74927,"high_usd":92729},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.1243,"high_eth":46.14,"low_usd":67351,"high_usd":103159},"sigma_log":0.1066,"multiple_of_floor":1.2268,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T12:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":37.2819,"usd":83354,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.5126,"high_eth":41.4751,"low_usd":74927,"high_usd":92729},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.1243,"high_eth":46.14,"low_usd":67351,"high_usd":103159},"sigma_log":0.1066,"multiple_of_floor":1.2268,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T12:04:35.000Z","block":26362856,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":13,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T12:04:35.000Z","block":26362856,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":13,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.044,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.2,"beta":0.0968,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":89}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.4,"date":"2019-06-20","block":7997948,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":28.0092},{"eth":1.49,"date":"2020-05-25","block":10133130,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":49,"adjusted_eth":40.4296}],"comparables":[{"eth":40,"date":"2025-01-18","punk":9289,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6336,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":53,"date":"2026-10-20","punk":1424,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":51.5085,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":161.5,"date":"2026-09-04","punk":1839,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":159.6612,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.23,"date":"2026-05-11","punk":3315,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.9899,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.1,"date":"2026-02-16","punk":3315,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6264,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.69,"date":"2025-12-23","punk":9993,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.9903,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.8,"date":"2025-11-18","punk":3123,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2427,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49,"date":"2025-09-29","punk":2408,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.8936,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1409,"type_multiple":{"sales":773,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0656,"median_multiple":1.0656},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Cap","sales_12m":38},{"attribute":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110},{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 37.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.5 to 41.5 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 46.1 ETH, confidence High, as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 12:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (773 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1760","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}