{"punk":1775,"name":"CryptoPunk #1775","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/1775","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/1775.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Earring","Tiara","Purple Eye Shadow"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":52.4767,"usd":127155,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":39.9235,"high_eth":68.9769,"low_usd":96738,"high_usd":167137},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3733,"high_eth":90.6653,"low_usd":73597,"high_usd":219689},"sigma_log":0.2734,"multiple_of_floor":1.7268,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":52.4767,"usd":127155,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":39.9235,"high_eth":68.9769,"low_usd":96738,"high_usd":167137},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3733,"high_eth":90.6653,"low_usd":73597,"high_usd":219689},"sigma_log":0.2734,"multiple_of_floor":1.7268,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":54,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":54,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":52.7},{"pct":70.6,"beta":0.5339,"term":"attr:Tiara","label":"Tiara","sales_12m":4,"weighted_sales":1.7},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0245,"term":"attr:Purple Eye Shadow","label":"Purple Eye Shadow","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":15.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":50,"date":"2021-02-28","block":11945002,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":265,"adjusted_eth":69.194},{"eth":74,"date":"2021-03-03","block":11966712,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":292,"adjusted_eth":102.2674},{"eth":122,"date":"2021-03-18","block":12061591,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":195,"adjusted_eth":171.2508},{"eth":62.75,"date":"2021-07-05","block":12768739,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":75,"adjusted_eth":106.8332},{"eth":75,"date":"2024-01-09","block":18970231,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":105,"adjusted_eth":43.0047}],"comparables":[{"eth":36,"date":"2026-10-31","punk":6370,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.9763,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-10-26","punk":2486,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8955,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":62,"date":"2026-10-22","punk":1603,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":60.2552,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.75,"date":"2026-06-16","punk":628,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5071,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.79,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":2659,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2409,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.899,"date":"2026-05-15","punk":2659,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3296,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33,"date":"2025-12-01","punk":1910,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.7735,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.99,"date":"2025-11-24","punk":5108,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.316,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.5368,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303}],"summary":["Estimate 52.5 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.9 to 69.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 90.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 05:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Tiara +71%, Purple Eye Shadow -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/1775","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}