{"punk":2213,"name":"CryptoPunk #2213","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2213","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2213.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Bandana","3D Glasses"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":55.1882,"usd":133726,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":40.9593,"high_eth":74.3603,"low_usd":99248,"high_usd":180181},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3989,"high_eth":100.1926,"low_usd":73659,"high_usd":242775},"sigma_log":0.2982,"multiple_of_floor":1.816,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":55.1882,"usd":133726,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":40.9593,"high_eth":74.3603,"low_usd":99248,"high_usd":180181},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3989,"high_eth":100.1926,"low_usd":73659,"high_usd":242775},"sigma_log":0.2982,"multiple_of_floor":1.816,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":30,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T11:04:35.000Z","block":26355395,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":30,"stale":false,"label":"as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":70,"ask_usd":156504,"z":0.8,"z_text":"0.8σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-08-08T19:49:59.000Z","days_listed":454},"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":23.3,"beta":0.2095,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":14.7},{"pct":45.9,"beta":0.3777,"term":"attr:3D Glasses","label":"3D Glasses","sales_12m":11,"weighted_sales":0.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":40,"date":"2021-03-03","block":11967820,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":20,"adjusted_eth":55.2797},{"eth":45,"date":"2021-03-11","block":12014183,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":110,"adjusted_eth":65.1214},{"eth":54.99,"date":"2021-03-29","block":12136078,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":153,"adjusted_eth":94.1491},{"eth":0,"date":"2023-11-07","block":18522615,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":320,"adjusted_eth":null}],"comparables":[{"eth":33.33,"date":"2026-10-09","punk":1895,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.1657,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":1452,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.2838,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-09-03","punk":1895,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1429,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.4,"date":"2026-08-09","punk":1895,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5225,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-07-21","punk":2154,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3397,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":55,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":5361,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":52.2818,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":50,"date":"2026-07-01","punk":4294,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":49.0161,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-06-29","punk":1895,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9429,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.5872,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Bandana","sales_12m":63}],"summary":["Estimate 55.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 41.0 to 74.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 100 ETH, confidence Low, as of 11:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 11:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%, 3D Glasses +46%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2213","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}