{"punk":2222,"name":"CryptoPunk #2222","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2222","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2222.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Blonde Short","Cigarette","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":27.9565,"usd":63563,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.063,"high_eth":29.9875,"low_usd":59258,"high_usd":68180},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":24.2978,"high_eth":32.1661,"low_usd":55244,"high_usd":73134},"sigma_log":0.0701,"multiple_of_floor":0.9199,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":27.5885,"usd":62726,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":25.72,"high_eth":29.5928,"low_usd":58478,"high_usd":67283},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.978,"high_eth":31.7427,"low_usd":54517,"high_usd":72171},"sigma_log":0.0701,"multiple_of_floor":0.9199,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":222.2,"ask_usd":495575,"z":29.57,"z_text":"29.6σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-03-25T00:02:11.000Z","days_listed":590},"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":-2.9,"beta":-0.0292,"term":"attr:Blonde Short","label":"Blonde Short","sales_12m":22,"weighted_sales":9.5},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0225,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110,"weighted_sales":14.3},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":10}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":11.22,"date":"2021-02-03","block":11780338,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":176,"adjusted_eth":61.291},{"eth":14,"date":"2021-02-09","block":11823218,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":159,"adjusted_eth":71.1627},{"eth":222.2,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13114643,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":254,"adjusted_eth":48.3945},{"eth":67,"date":"2022-01-23","block":14062186,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":4,"adjusted_eth":29.1799},{"eth":71.69,"date":"2022-01-24","block":14066008,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":45,"adjusted_eth":32.3403},{"eth":69,"date":"2022-02-11","block":14185453,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":366,"adjusted_eth":30.9268},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-04-29","block":14679221,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":145,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-12-28","block":16282327,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":128,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-06-19","block":20122705,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":121,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2024-06-19","block":20122705,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":125,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":38.5,"date":"2024-12-15","block":21410150,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":215,"adjusted_eth":29.9978}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.48,"date":"2026-06-25","punk":8999,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0281,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48,"date":"2025-09-03","punk":4439,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9962,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.44,"date":"2025-09-03","punk":6933,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.7715,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.99,"date":"2025-08-17","punk":6933,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.99,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.2,"date":"2025-08-14","punk":6933,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":27.3309,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":55.9,"date":"2025-08-09","punk":8605,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4974,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":52.6,"date":"2025-08-08","punk":6933,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4305,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":53,"date":"2025-08-02","punk":6933,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4401,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0941,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 28.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.1 to 30.0 ETH, 2σ range 24.3 to 32.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Blonde Short -3%, Cigarette -2%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2222","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}