{"punk":2224,"name":"CryptoPunk #2224","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2224","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2224.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Goat","Earring","Do-rag"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":28.9748,"usd":65878,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.2864,"high_eth":31.938,"low_usd":59765,"high_usd":72615},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.8475,"high_eth":35.2044,"low_usd":54220,"high_usd":80042},"sigma_log":0.0974,"multiple_of_floor":0.9534,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":28.5934,"usd":65011,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":25.9404,"high_eth":31.5176,"low_usd":58979,"high_usd":71659},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":23.5336,"high_eth":34.741,"low_usd":53507,"high_usd":78988},"sigma_log":0.0974,"multiple_of_floor":0.9534,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":53,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":53,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0761,"term":"attr:Goat","label":"Goat","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":16.8},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":306,"weighted_sales":71.1},{"pct":-5.5,"beta":-0.0565,"term":"attr:Do-rag","label":"Do-rag","sales_12m":52,"weighted_sales":18}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":64.9,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13081972,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":95,"adjusted_eth":28.7581},{"eth":97.58,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13112144,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":21.2527},{"eth":99.99,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13112322,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":5,"adjusted_eth":21.7775},{"eth":94,"date":"2021-09-02","block":13147584,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":36,"adjusted_eth":29.6774},{"eth":99,"date":"2021-09-02","block":13147677,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":85,"adjusted_eth":31.256},{"eth":105,"date":"2021-09-25","block":13291774,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":29.1569},{"eth":107.5,"date":"2021-10-04","block":13353657,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":117,"adjusted_eth":27.035},{"eth":85,"date":"2021-11-09","block":13580287,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":69,"adjusted_eth":30.347},{"eth":85,"date":"2022-07-18","block":15167724,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":375,"adjusted_eth":30.5105},{"eth":55,"date":"2023-11-10","block":18537897,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":206,"adjusted_eth":27.9568},{"eth":29.64,"date":"2026-09-21","block":26028092,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":325,"adjusted_eth":28.6743},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-10-02","block":26106699,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":325,"adjusted_eth":29.9991}],"comparables":[{"eth":51.99,"date":"2025-03-24","punk":3067,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.301,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":38.9949,"date":"2025-03-10","punk":3067,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7874,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":36.9,"date":"2025-03-05","punk":3067,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5102,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":34.4999,"date":"2026-09-25","punk":9142,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.711,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":9142,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8209,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.001,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":9142,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3767,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.88,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":8332,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3116,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.4899,"date":"2026-07-25","punk":4325,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.6049,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.111,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 29.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.3 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 23.8 to 35.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Goat -7%, Earring -2%, Do-rag -6%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2224","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}