{"punk":2233,"name":"CryptoPunk #2233","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2233","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2233.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Goat","Stringy Hair"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":30.221,"usd":68711,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7,"high_eth":32.9714,"low_usd":62979,"high_usd":74965},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.3893,"high_eth":35.9721,"low_usd":57726,"high_usd":81787},"sigma_log":0.0871,"multiple_of_floor":0.9944,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.8232,"usd":67807,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.3354,"high_eth":32.5374,"low_usd":62151,"high_usd":73978},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.0551,"high_eth":35.4986,"low_usd":56966,"high_usd":80711},"sigma_log":0.0871,"multiple_of_floor":0.9944,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":51,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10,"beta":0.0957,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":89.3},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":102.4},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0761,"term":"attr:Goat","label":"Goat","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":16.8},{"pct":-9.4,"beta":-0.0983,"term":"attr:Stringy Hair","label":"Stringy Hair","sales_12m":99,"weighted_sales":25.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.3056,"date":"2017-07-18","block":4040130,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":15,"adjusted_eth":26.1817},{"eth":67.9,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13082034,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":101,"adjusted_eth":30.0875},{"eth":66.99,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13082648,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":43,"adjusted_eth":29.6843},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-03-01","block":14303359,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":395,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":81.95,"date":"2022-07-16","block":15156008,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":298,"adjusted_eth":29.4686},{"eth":67.99,"date":"2023-03-17","block":16843943,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":149,"adjusted_eth":28.9634},{"eth":53.5,"date":"2023-05-01","block":17167890,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":145,"adjusted_eth":29.1774},{"eth":41,"date":"2024-04-06","block":19598790,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":38,"adjusted_eth":29.276}],"comparables":[{"eth":31.2,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":9984,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1835,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.8,"date":"2026-04-27","punk":9984,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9026,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.34,"date":"2025-11-05","punk":1054,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0449,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.9,"date":"2025-10-06","punk":1054,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1132,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40.25,"date":"2025-02-05","punk":4866,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3532,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40.25,"date":"2024-12-18","punk":4866,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9975,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":9585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.562,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.45,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":8233,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.0156,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0689,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.7 to 33.0 ETH, 2σ range 25.4 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Goat -7%, Stringy Hair -9%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2233","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}