{"punk":2248,"name":"CryptoPunk #2248","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2248","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2248.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Front Beard Dark","Messy Hair","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":31.9883,"usd":72730,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.5223,"high_eth":34.6605,"low_usd":67123,"high_usd":78805},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2463,"high_eth":37.5558,"low_usd":61948,"high_usd":85388},"sigma_log":0.0802,"multiple_of_floor":1.0526,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":31.5673,"usd":71772,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.1337,"high_eth":34.2043,"low_usd":66239,"high_usd":77768},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.8877,"high_eth":37.0615,"low_usd":61133,"high_usd":84264},"sigma_log":0.0802,"multiple_of_floor":1.0526,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":46,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":46,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10,"beta":0.0957,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":89.3},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.4},{"pct":-7.5,"beta":-0.0779,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":8.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":19,"date":"2021-04-20","block":12279001,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":202,"adjusted_eth":29.2661},{"eth":19.95,"date":"2021-04-24","block":12300617,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":154,"adjusted_eth":29.93},{"eth":35,"date":"2021-08-04","block":12955827,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":41,"adjusted_eth":30.4335},{"eth":47.2,"date":"2021-08-20","block":13063376,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":33,"adjusted_eth":27.2269},{"eth":78.89,"date":"2021-08-24","block":13090544,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":32,"adjusted_eth":31.3366},{"eth":60,"date":"2022-05-03","block":14702482,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":198,"adjusted_eth":29.4984},{"eth":52.5,"date":"2024-01-08","block":18964370,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":29.7071},{"eth":54.5,"date":"2024-01-11","block":18985289,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":6,"adjusted_eth":28.1851}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-04-09","punk":8051,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.5722,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.75,"date":"2026-04-08","punk":8051,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5208,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54,"date":"2025-07-30","punk":8798,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0791,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39,"date":"2025-02-07","punk":4204,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.9839,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44,"date":"2025-01-29","punk":5687,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":34.2743,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2024-11-14","punk":5687,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2264,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":5579,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":39.9951,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.499,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":9176,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9989,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0121,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Messy Hair","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 34.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Clown Eyes Green -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2248","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}