{"punk":2249,"name":"CryptoPunk #2249","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2249","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2249.svg","type":"Zombie","skin_tone":null,"attributes":["Bandana","Eye Patch"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":483.6971,"usd":1172038,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":273.543,"high_eth":855.3057,"low_usd":662817,"high_usd":2072476},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":154.6955,"high_eth":1512.4089,"low_usd":374840,"high_usd":3664691},"sigma_log":0.57,"multiple_of_floor":15.9163,"n1_eth":483.6971,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Zombie","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","basis":"daily close"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":483.6971,"usd":1172038,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":273.543,"high_eth":855.3057,"low_usd":662817,"high_usd":2072476},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":154.6955,"high_eth":1512.4089,"low_usd":374840,"high_usd":3664691},"sigma_log":0.57,"multiple_of_floor":15.9163,"n1_eth":483.6971,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Zombie","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Zombie","date":"2026-11-06","eth":480,"public_asks":10,"punk":2306}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Zombie","terms":[],"backtest":{"cell":"Zombie","rare":{"n":110,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.927},"thin":true,"sigma":0.57},"own_sales":[{"eth":1,"date":"2017-07-04","block":3974885,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":1,"adjusted_eth":129.3191},{"eth":1.49,"date":"2017-07-15","block":4025831,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":122.3814},{"eth":1.069,"date":"2017-08-28","block":4213296,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":162.4346},{"eth":9.5,"date":"2020-04-26","block":9945953,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":75,"adjusted_eth":555.2019}],"comparables":[{"eth":400.04,"date":"2021-07-01","punk":1119,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":721.4965,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":325,"date":"2021-05-24","punk":2424,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":658.45,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":400,"date":"2021-05-18","punk":1190,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":856.0563,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":300,"date":"2021-02-26","punk":1119,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":434.1429,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":200,"date":"2021-02-24","punk":1119,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":276.2727,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":130,"date":"2021-02-11","punk":6784,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":645.5392,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":130,"date":"2021-02-11","punk":3489,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":645.5392,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32,"date":"2020-12-05","punk":1190,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":299.2246,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0,"type_multiple":{"sales":111,"period":"all history, weighted to recent sales (half-life 2 years)","multiple":15.9163,"median_multiple":15.9163},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 484 ETH (beta), 1σ range 274 to 855 ETH, 2σ range 155 to 1,512 ETH, confidence Low, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Zombie punks: 15.9x the floor, the weighted median of 111 sales over all history; too few sales for attribute terms.","In the backtest, 93% of 110 Zombie sales landed inside the 2σ range. The range is wide on purpose."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2249","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}