{"punk":2336,"name":"CryptoPunk #2336","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2336","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2336.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Earring","Clown Hair Green","Clown Nose"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":34.8767,"usd":79297,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.9317,"high_eth":38.0933,"low_usd":72601,"high_usd":86610},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.2353,"high_eth":41.6066,"low_usd":66470,"high_usd":94598},"sigma_log":0.0882,"multiple_of_floor":1.1476,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":34.4176,"usd":78253,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.5114,"high_eth":37.5919,"low_usd":71645,"high_usd":85470},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.8505,"high_eth":41.059,"low_usd":65595,"high_usd":93353},"sigma_log":0.0882,"multiple_of_floor":1.1476,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":41,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":41,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":306,"weighted_sales":71.1},{"pct":-6.4,"beta":-0.0656,"term":"attr:Clown Nose","label":"Clown Nose","sales_12m":25,"weighted_sales":6.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":10,"date":"2020-10-09","block":11023631,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":124,"adjusted_eth":66.6444},{"eth":100,"date":"2021-03-12","block":12021717,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":86,"adjusted_eth":136.4422},{"eth":148.14,"date":"2021-08-24","block":13085421,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":58.844},{"eth":40,"date":"2024-11-17","block":21204484,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":62,"adjusted_eth":32.4304},{"eth":57.5,"date":"2025-04-30","block":22384332,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":306,"adjusted_eth":39.2093}],"comparables":[{"eth":36,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":192,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0463,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2026-05-19","punk":8344,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":44.1289,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39,"date":"2025-11-01","punk":2845,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.6196,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-06-15","punk":7848,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.1253,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.99,"date":"2025-05-03","punk":4542,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":33.6975,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":43.9,"date":"2025-03-28","punk":4390,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8545,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":43.49,"date":"2025-03-25","punk":4390,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.21,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.5,"date":"2025-02-03","punk":8325,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.6756,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0744,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Clown Hair Green","sales_12m":15}],"summary":["Estimate 34.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.9 to 38.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 41.6 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Earring -2%, Clown Nose -6%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2336","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}