{"punk":2572,"name":"CryptoPunk #2572","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2572","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2572.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Front Beard","Vampire Hair","3D Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":59.2696,"usd":143615,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":43.3587,"high_eth":81.0193,"low_usd":105062,"high_usd":196316},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":31.719,"high_eth":110.7502,"low_usd":76858,"high_usd":268357},"sigma_log":0.3126,"multiple_of_floor":1.9503,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":59.2696,"usd":143615,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":43.3587,"high_eth":81.0193,"low_usd":105062,"high_usd":196316},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":31.719,"high_eth":110.7502,"low_usd":76858,"high_usd":268357},"sigma_log":0.3126,"multiple_of_floor":1.9503,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.8,"beta":0.1805,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.7},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0757,"term":"attr:Front Beard","label":"Front Beard","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":11.3},{"pct":-10.5,"beta":-0.1109,"term":"attr:Vampire Hair","label":"Vampire Hair","sales_12m":18,"weighted_sales":6.5},{"pct":75.9,"beta":0.565,"term":"attr:3D Glasses","label":"3D Glasses","sales_12m":11,"weighted_sales":3.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":48,"date":"2021-03-04","block":11968498,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":33,"adjusted_eth":65.4428},{"eth":36.69,"date":"2021-03-27","block":12120034,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":33,"adjusted_eth":61.945},{"eth":47.99,"date":"2021-04-12","block":12226567,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":82,"adjusted_eth":71.177},{"eth":41.99,"date":"2021-04-22","block":12287496,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":161,"adjusted_eth":65.7771},{"eth":44.9,"date":"2021-07-04","block":12762010,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":346,"adjusted_eth":76.4432},{"eth":179,"date":"2021-09-04","block":13156519,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":57,"adjusted_eth":54.9476}],"comparables":[{"eth":67.5,"date":"2026-07-16","punk":4822,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":63.2539,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.8,"date":"2025-11-17","punk":7341,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.39,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.4656,"date":"2025-10-06","punk":7646,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2438,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.5,"date":"2025-10-04","punk":7646,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1414,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":71.8,"date":"2025-06-10","punk":5051,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":49.591,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":59,"date":"2025-03-04","punk":5699,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":49.8751,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.25,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":4282,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2301,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.26,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":9216,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.3401,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.6044,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 59.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 43.4 to 81.0 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 111 ETH, confidence Low, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, Front Beard -7%, Vampire Hair -11%, 3D Glasses +76%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2572","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}