{"punk":260,"name":"CryptoPunk #260","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/260","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/260.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Purple Hair","3D Glasses"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":57.5767,"usd":130908,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":42.7073,"high_eth":77.6232,"low_usd":97101,"high_usd":176486},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":31.6781,"high_eth":104.6493,"low_usd":72024,"high_usd":237934},"sigma_log":0.2987,"multiple_of_floor":1.8946,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":56.8189,"usd":129185,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":42.1452,"high_eth":76.6015,"low_usd":95822,"high_usd":174163},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":31.2611,"high_eth":103.2719,"low_usd":71076,"high_usd":234802},"sigma_log":0.2987,"multiple_of_floor":1.8946,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":47,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":102.4},{"pct":76.1,"beta":0.5659,"term":"attr:3D Glasses","label":"3D Glasses","sales_12m":11,"weighted_sales":3.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":60,"date":"2021-05-06","block":12383557,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":168,"adjusted_eth":91.1089},{"eth":32.43,"date":"2021-05-14","block":12433704,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":79,"adjusted_eth":62.7468},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2021-06-06","block":12583600,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":462,"adjusted_eth":69.8692},{"eth":60,"date":"2021-06-23","block":12687391,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":75,"adjusted_eth":126.4512},{"eth":175,"date":"2021-08-06","block":12970286,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":487,"adjusted_eth":107.1071}],"comparables":[{"eth":88.88,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":4746,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":82.1928,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":51,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":1326,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":47.1337,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":38.95,"date":"2026-08-10","punk":3041,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.5263,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":67.5,"date":"2026-07-16","punk":4822,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":62.4214,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":88.88,"date":"2026-06-29","punk":7173,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":84.6194,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":278,"date":"2026-06-26","punk":4441,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":260.6196,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":205,"date":"2026-05-04","punk":6634,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":198.6414,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":92.5,"date":"2026-04-10","punk":6042,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":99.1095,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.5757,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Hair","sales_12m":6}],"summary":["Estimate 57.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 42.7 to 77.6 ETH, 2σ range 31.7 to 105 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, 3D Glasses +76%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/260","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}