{"punk":2608,"name":"CryptoPunk #2608","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2608","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2608.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Hot Lipstick","Spots","Half Shaved","Classic Shades"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":37.8761,"usd":86116,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.6645,"high_eth":42.6145,"low_usd":76541,"high_usd":96889},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.9213,"high_eth":47.9458,"low_usd":68030,"high_usd":109011},"sigma_log":0.1179,"multiple_of_floor":1.2463,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T20:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":37.3776,"usd":84983,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":33.2214,"high_eth":42.0536,"low_usd":75533,"high_usd":95614},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.5275,"high_eth":47.3147,"low_usd":67135,"high_usd":107576},"sigma_log":0.1179,"multiple_of_floor":1.2463,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T20:04:35.000Z","block":26350905,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":61,"stale":false,"label":"as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T20:04:35.000Z","block":26350905,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":61,"stale":false,"label":"as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":23.3,"beta":0.2096,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":14.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":62,"date":"2024-01-20","block":19051183,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":237,"adjusted_eth":30.2584},{"eth":58.9,"date":"2024-02-29","block":19336394,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":136,"adjusted_eth":29.9747}],"comparables":[{"eth":44,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":1612,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":40.2919,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":1914,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6362,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":4065,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9808,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.9,"date":"2026-09-04","punk":7802,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1217,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-08-12","punk":6631,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2998,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-08-12","punk":6631,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.3638,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.689,"date":"2026-06-16","punk":2903,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9799,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.87,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":4105,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.931,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2096,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Hot Lipstick","sales_12m":88},{"attribute":"Spots","sales_12m":14},{"attribute":"Half Shaved","sales_12m":13},{"attribute":"Classic Shades","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 37.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.7 to 42.6 ETH, 2σ range 29.9 to 47.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 20:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 20:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +23%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2608","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}