{"punk":2669,"name":"CryptoPunk #2669","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2669","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2669.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Chinstrap","Shaved Head"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":32.3251,"usd":73495,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.8397,"high_eth":35.0175,"low_usd":67844,"high_usd":79617},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.5454,"high_eth":37.9341,"low_usd":62628,"high_usd":86248},"sigma_log":0.08,"multiple_of_floor":1.0637,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":31.8996,"usd":72528,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.4469,"high_eth":34.5566,"low_usd":66951,"high_usd":78569},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.1828,"high_eth":37.4348,"low_usd":61804,"high_usd":85113},"sigma_log":0.08,"multiple_of_floor":1.0637,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":59,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":59,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":102.4},{"pct":-5.3,"beta":-0.054,"term":"attr:Chinstrap","label":"Chinstrap","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":19.4},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0758,"term":"attr:Shaved Head","label":"Shaved Head","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":12.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.4,"date":"2020-09-12","block":10847177,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":158,"adjusted_eth":30.4246},{"eth":18.9,"date":"2021-05-09","block":12397296,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":61,"adjusted_eth":29.5985},{"eth":13.25,"date":"2021-06-04","block":12567911,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":2,"adjusted_eth":28.4443},{"eth":13.99,"date":"2021-06-10","block":12607391,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":157,"adjusted_eth":28.9352},{"eth":21.9,"date":"2021-07-26","block":12904016,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":68,"adjusted_eth":29.8673},{"eth":51.9,"date":"2021-08-21","block":13068673,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":136,"adjusted_eth":29.9323}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.9,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":8048,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0108,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.35,"date":"2026-04-06","punk":8048,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8636,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47,"date":"2025-05-08","punk":8048,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4347,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45.25,"date":"2025-05-08","punk":8048,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2642,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44,"date":"2025-05-06","punk":8048,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.2322,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40,"date":"2025-03-24","punk":1695,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.6986,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.9849,"date":"2025-01-17","punk":2733,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5615,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.89,"date":"2025-01-14","punk":2733,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":26.3164,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0016,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 32.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.8 to 35.0 ETH, 2σ range 27.5 to 37.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Chinstrap -5%, Shaved Head -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2669","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}