{"punk":2673,"name":"CryptoPunk #2673","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2673","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2673.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Muttonchops","Frumpy Hair","Pipe","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":32.0827,"usd":77739,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.347,"high_eth":35.0733,"low_usd":71110,"high_usd":84985},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.8446,"high_eth":38.3427,"low_usd":65047,"high_usd":92908},"sigma_log":0.0891,"multiple_of_floor":1.0557,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":32.0827,"usd":77739,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.347,"high_eth":35.0733,"low_usd":71110,"high_usd":84985},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.8446,"high_eth":38.3427,"low_usd":65047,"high_usd":92908},"sigma_log":0.0891,"multiple_of_floor":1.0557,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":25,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":25,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-9.3,"beta":-0.0973,"term":"attr:Muttonchops","label":"Muttonchops","sales_12m":48,"weighted_sales":15.7},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.076,"term":"attr:Frumpy Hair","label":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":59,"weighted_sales":19.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.4,"date":"2019-06-20","block":7998096,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":71,"adjusted_eth":28.0092},{"eth":1.3,"date":"2020-06-23","block":10318711,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":51,"adjusted_eth":39.507},{"eth":2.1,"date":"2020-09-11","block":10843070,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":161,"adjusted_eth":46.2457},{"eth":6,"date":"2021-02-01","block":11772582,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":307,"adjusted_eth":35.7529},{"eth":16,"date":"2021-02-20","block":11893895,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":137,"adjusted_eth":35.9114},{"eth":21.95,"date":"2021-02-26","block":11932087,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":30,"adjusted_eth":31.7648},{"eth":27.5,"date":"2021-02-26","block":11934797,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":259,"adjusted_eth":39.7964}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":2647,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3806,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":8246,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.987,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2026-07-12","punk":7361,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.1302,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.95,"date":"2026-06-15","punk":1905,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6317,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.5,"date":"2026-06-07","punk":1905,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2041,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.45,"date":"2026-06-03","punk":1905,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0252,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.99,"date":"2025-11-10","punk":1905,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.39,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.0676,"date":"2025-10-09","punk":7771,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1501,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0094,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Pipe","sales_12m":32},{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 32.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 35.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.8 to 38.3 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 12:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Muttonchops -9%, Frumpy Hair -7%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2673","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}