{"punk":2925,"name":"CryptoPunk #2925","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2925","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2925.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Earring","Police Cap","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":33.0678,"usd":73932,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.5047,"high_eth":35.8463,"low_usd":68202,"high_usd":80144},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.1402,"high_eth":38.8583,"low_usd":62915,"high_usd":86878},"sigma_log":0.0807,"multiple_of_floor":1.0881,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T09:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":33.0678,"usd":73932,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.5047,"high_eth":35.8463,"low_usd":68202,"high_usd":80144},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.1402,"high_eth":38.8583,"low_usd":62915,"high_usd":86878},"sigma_log":0.0807,"multiple_of_floor":1.0881,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T09:04:23.000Z","block":26361962,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T09:04:23.000Z","block":26361962,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.044,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-2.3,"beta":-0.0231,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":303,"weighted_sales":71}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":16.5,"date":"2021-04-05","block":12180494,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":51,"adjusted_eth":32.3506},{"eth":55,"date":"2025-07-28","block":23021056,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":68,"adjusted_eth":30.9642},{"eth":24.91,"date":"2025-12-22","block":24069309,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":478,"adjusted_eth":28.0584},{"eth":26.49,"date":"2025-12-27","block":24107010,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":394,"adjusted_eth":29.9268}],"comparables":[{"eth":39.99,"date":"2026-09-29","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2883,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":192,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.4737,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-09-09","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4814,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":161.5,"date":"2026-09-04","punk":1839,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":159.6612,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.99,"date":"2026-06-16","punk":8918,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2357,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.5,"date":"2026-05-14","punk":1812,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.0666,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-05-07","punk":4708,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8998,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.1,"date":"2026-04-01","punk":1812,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.4559,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0209,"type_multiple":{"sales":773,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0656,"median_multiple":1.0656},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Police Cap","sales_12m":29},{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 33.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.5 to 35.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.1 to 38.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (773 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Earring -2%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2925","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}