{"punk":2989,"name":"CryptoPunk #2989","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2989","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2989.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Shaved Head","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.3088,"usd":73441,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7946,"high_eth":33.0504,"low_usd":67349,"high_usd":80084},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.4889,"high_eth":36.04,"low_usd":61762,"high_usd":87328},"sigma_log":0.0866,"multiple_of_floor":0.9973,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.3088,"usd":73441,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.7946,"high_eth":33.0504,"low_usd":67349,"high_usd":80084},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.4889,"high_eth":36.04,"low_usd":61762,"high_usd":87328},"sigma_log":0.0866,"multiple_of_floor":0.9973,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","block":26352999,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","block":26352999,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":50,"stale":false,"label":"as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":101.6},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0758,"term":"attr:Shaved Head","label":"Shaved Head","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":12.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.1249,"date":"2018-11-24","block":6762201,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":14,"adjusted_eth":30.39},{"eth":23.77,"date":"2021-02-22","block":11909870,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":103,"adjusted_eth":30.7392},{"eth":19.5,"date":"2021-03-11","block":12018824,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":61,"adjusted_eth":28.2193},{"eth":19.5,"date":"2021-03-11","block":12019590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":357,"adjusted_eth":28.2193},{"eth":21.47,"date":"2021-03-12","block":12020616,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":42,"adjusted_eth":29.6849},{"eth":21.69,"date":"2021-04-27","block":12324201,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":282,"adjusted_eth":29.989},{"eth":22.99,"date":"2021-05-03","block":12362720,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":34.2148},{"eth":24.34,"date":"2021-06-27","block":12714712,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":34,"adjusted_eth":50.838},{"eth":60,"date":"2022-01-15","block":14012465,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":30,"adjusted_eth":29.1744},{"eth":62.49,"date":"2022-01-19","block":14038001,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":301,"adjusted_eth":30.6549},{"eth":69.8,"date":"2023-03-17","block":16847860,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":187,"adjusted_eth":30.131},{"eth":29.5,"date":"2025-11-23","block":23862939,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":376,"adjusted_eth":29.9935},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-02-08","block":24410114,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":399,"adjusted_eth":30.5325}],"comparables":[{"eth":32,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":8246,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.987,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.69,"date":"2024-11-14","punk":2965,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.7984,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":3391,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9803,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":37,"date":"2026-11-01","punk":6406,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.9757,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.26,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":9216,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.3401,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":60,"date":"2026-10-21","punk":6066,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":58.3115,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35.9,"date":"2026-10-09","punk":8159,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.646,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":42,"date":"2026-10-03","punk":4810,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.6899,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0663,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 30.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 33.1 ETH, 2σ range 25.5 to 36.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 03:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Shaved Head -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2989","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}