{"punk":2995,"name":"CryptoPunk #2995","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/2995","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/2995.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Eye Patch"],"attribute_count":1,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":38.9597,"usd":88580,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.999,"high_eth":48.9646,"low_usd":70480,"high_usd":111327},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":24.6649,"high_eth":61.5389,"low_usd":56079,"high_usd":139916},"sigma_log":0.2286,"multiple_of_floor":1.282,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 0-1","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":38.4469,"usd":87414,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.591,"high_eth":48.3201,"low_usd":69553,"high_usd":109862},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":24.3403,"high_eth":60.7289,"low_usd":55341,"high_usd":138075},"sigma_log":0.2286,"multiple_of_floor":1.282,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 0-1","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 0-1","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":15,"beta":0.1394,"term":"count1","label":"1 attribute (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":3.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 0-1","seen":{"n":16,"cover1":0.5,"cover2":0.625,"bias_pct":27.5,"within10":0.25,"within25":0.5,"MdALE_pct":27.5},"thin":true,"sigma":0.209,"selection":{"n":35,"cover1":0.714,"cover2":0.914,"bias_pct":6.6,"within10":0.571,"within25":0.714,"MdALE_pct":7.8}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.15,"date":"2020-01-26","block":9359332,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":55,"adjusted_eth":52.2553},{"eth":2,"date":"2020-05-16","block":10079536,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":68,"adjusted_eth":85.6858}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":9585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.562,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":5394,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.8376,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":29.35,"date":"2026-10-23","punk":8427,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.3938,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":55,"date":"2026-10-14","punk":8264,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":52.7149,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.311,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":9787,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6526,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":37,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5942,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6362,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34.45,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3869,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":37.49,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":9787,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.6693,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.1851,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Eye Patch","sales_12m":74}],"summary":["Estimate 39.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.0 to 49.0 ETH, 2σ range 24.7 to 61.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%.","In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/2995","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}