{"punk":3084,"name":"CryptoPunk #3084","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3084","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3084.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Black Lipstick","Rosy Cheeks","Mohawk Dark","Regular Shades"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":31.9058,"usd":77310,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.1243,"high_eth":33.7926,"low_usd":72994,"high_usd":81882},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.4423,"high_eth":35.791,"low_usd":68918,"high_usd":86725},"sigma_log":0.0575,"multiple_of_floor":1.0499,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":31.9058,"usd":77310,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.1243,"high_eth":33.7926,"low_usd":72994,"high_usd":81882},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.4423,"high_eth":35.791,"low_usd":68918,"high_usd":86725},"sigma_log":0.0575,"multiple_of_floor":1.0499,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":10000,"ask_usd":22357746,"z":99.96,"z_text":"100.0σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2023-08-06T19:38:23.000Z","days_listed":1187},"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":4,"beta":0.0392,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":42.1}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":27.99,"date":"2021-03-12","block":12022576,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":79,"adjusted_eth":38.6995},{"eth":32,"date":"2021-04-27","block":12319908,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":24,"adjusted_eth":44.2439},{"eth":150,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13115983,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":138,"adjusted_eth":33.1053},{"eth":63,"date":"2021-12-17","block":13824399,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":48,"adjusted_eth":31.3864},{"eth":79.99,"date":"2022-06-20","block":14993679,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":93,"adjusted_eth":35.4875},{"eth":80,"date":"2022-10-16","block":15759864,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":39,"adjusted_eth":37.4031}],"comparables":[{"eth":35,"date":"2026-09-18","punk":9912,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.8252,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":36.25,"date":"2026-07-22","punk":4710,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.4262,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.8,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":9691,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2504,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.75,"date":"2026-03-05","punk":4710,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3063,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.6,"date":"2026-02-26","punk":5055,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1456,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-02-23","punk":4145,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.5502,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":24,"date":"2026-02-12","punk":5055,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":24.4342,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.35,"date":"2026-01-15","punk":2127,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5775,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0392,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Black Lipstick","sales_12m":95},{"attribute":"Rosy Cheeks","sales_12m":20},{"attribute":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53},{"attribute":"Regular Shades","sales_12m":47}],"summary":["Estimate 31.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.1 to 33.8 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 35.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3084","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}