{"punk":3096,"name":"CryptoPunk #3096","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3096","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3096.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Earring","Pink With Hat","Vape","Clown Eyes Blue"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":40.737,"usd":98709,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":35.002,"high_eth":47.4116,"low_usd":84813,"high_usd":114882},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0744,"high_eth":55.1799,"low_usd":72873,"high_usd":133705},"sigma_log":0.1517,"multiple_of_floor":1.3405,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":40.737,"usd":98709,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":35.002,"high_eth":47.4116,"low_usd":84813,"high_usd":114882},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0744,"high_eth":55.1799,"low_usd":72873,"high_usd":133705},"sigma_log":0.1517,"multiple_of_floor":1.3405,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":52.7},{"pct":29.2,"beta":0.2562,"term":"attr:Pink With Hat","label":"Pink With Hat","sales_12m":9,"weighted_sales":3}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":2.49,"date":"2020-04-17","block":9892576,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":26,"adjusted_eth":148.3747},{"eth":3.59,"date":"2020-05-08","block":10027671,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":71,"adjusted_eth":198.3638}],"comparables":[{"eth":50,"date":"2026-06-27","punk":7090,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":46.7538,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":37,"date":"2025-11-05","punk":2190,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.8147,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":58,"date":"2026-10-14","punk":5191,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":56.3317,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.25,"date":"2026-06-05","punk":4769,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.4262,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.5,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":2461,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1585,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.89,"date":"2026-05-14","punk":7502,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3973,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.69,"date":"2026-05-14","punk":7502,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1776,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.8,"date":"2026-04-27","punk":4769,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.2529,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2836,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303},{"attribute":"Vape","sales_12m":50},{"attribute":"Clown Eyes Blue","sales_12m":65}],"summary":["Estimate 40.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.0 to 47.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.1 to 55.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Pink With Hat +29%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3096","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}