{"punk":3302,"name":"CryptoPunk #3302","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3302","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3302.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Mustache","Bandana","Pipe","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":36.8153,"usd":89206,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.9911,"high_eth":41.0826,"low_usd":79940,"high_usd":99547},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.5643,"high_eth":45.8446,"low_usd":71637,"high_usd":111085},"sigma_log":0.1097,"multiple_of_floor":1.2114,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T02:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":36.8153,"usd":89206,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.9911,"high_eth":41.0826,"low_usd":79940,"high_usd":99547},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.5643,"high_eth":45.8446,"low_usd":71637,"high_usd":111085},"sigma_log":0.1097,"multiple_of_floor":1.2114,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T02:04:23.000Z","block":26352699,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":56,"stale":false,"label":"as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T02:04:23.000Z","block":26352699,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":56,"stale":false,"label":"as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":58,"ask_usd":129675,"z":4.14,"z_text":"4.1σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-08-13T12:35:47.000Z","days_listed":449},"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0357,"term":"attr:Bandana","label":"Bandana","sales_12m":63,"weighted_sales":14.1}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":18.99,"date":"2021-03-30","block":12142467,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":21,"adjusted_eth":33.0152},{"eth":19.99,"date":"2021-04-03","block":12164287,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":43.3926},{"eth":28,"date":"2024-07-12","block":20291847,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":93,"adjusted_eth":30.9538},{"eth":27.5,"date":"2024-07-23","block":20370185,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":288,"adjusted_eth":32.8896},{"eth":30.99,"date":"2024-08-20","block":20572497,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":186,"adjusted_eth":32.6103},{"eth":46.69,"date":"2024-12-02","block":21311198,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":61,"adjusted_eth":31.9358},{"eth":51,"date":"2025-04-22","block":22322012,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":108,"adjusted_eth":35.2488}],"comparables":[{"eth":51.2,"date":"2025-08-26","punk":8335,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.1975,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":36.14,"date":"2025-02-27","punk":8335,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.2175,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":36,"date":"2025-02-24","punk":8335,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.7297,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":40.5,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5581,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.1999,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":8246,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.987,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.99,"date":"2026-08-31","punk":2687,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.24,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2026-07-12","punk":7361,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.1302,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.65,"date":"2026-07-03","punk":5581,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2076,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1282,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mustache","sales_12m":51},{"attribute":"Pipe","sales_12m":32},{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 36.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 33.0 to 41.1 ETH, 2σ range 29.6 to 45.8 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 02:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 02:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Bandana -4%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3302","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}