{"punk":3310,"name":"CryptoPunk #3310","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3310","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3310.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Handlebars","Mohawk Thin","Horned Rim Glasses"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":31.9586,"usd":77438,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.4934,"high_eth":34.6299,"low_usd":71465,"high_usd":83911},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2183,"high_eth":37.5245,"low_usd":65952,"high_usd":90925},"sigma_log":0.0803,"multiple_of_floor":1.0516,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":31.9586,"usd":77438,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.4934,"high_eth":34.6299,"low_usd":71465,"high_usd":83911},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2183,"high_eth":37.5245,"low_usd":65952,"high_usd":90925},"sigma_log":0.0803,"multiple_of_floor":1.0516,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-6.1,"beta":-0.0634,"term":"attr:Handlebars","label":"Handlebars","sales_12m":32,"weighted_sales":11.7},{"pct":-10.8,"beta":-0.1137,"term":"attr:Mohawk Thin","label":"Mohawk Thin","sales_12m":51,"weighted_sales":11}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.38,"date":"2017-07-04","block":3971049,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":69,"adjusted_eth":49.1413},{"eth":0.5,"date":"2020-01-07","block":9231944,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":160,"adjusted_eth":27.6273},{"eth":31,"date":"2021-05-05","block":12374929,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":274,"adjusted_eth":47.1045}],"comparables":[{"eth":31.9,"date":"2026-01-25","punk":9795,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.5679,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":25.65,"date":"2026-01-16","punk":9795,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.0286,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-01-05","punk":1117,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.0776,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":59.68,"date":"2025-10-07","punk":3390,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.4571,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45.69,"date":"2025-07-23","punk":2791,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4883,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.69,"date":"2025-02-19","punk":4663,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.5656,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.69,"date":"2025-01-07","punk":7718,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6082,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38,"date":"2025-01-05","punk":7718,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.406,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0133,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Horned Rim Glasses","sales_12m":50}],"summary":["Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 34.6 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 37.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 05:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Handlebars -6%, Mohawk Thin -11%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3310","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}