{"punk":3361,"name":"CryptoPunk #3361","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3361","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3361.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Black Lipstick","Earring","Stringy Hair","Cigarette","Nerd Glasses"],"attribute_count":5,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.0474,"usd":72807,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.4397,"high_eth":31.746,"low_usd":68912,"high_usd":76923},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.9181,"high_eth":33.5405,"low_usd":65225,"high_usd":81271},"sigma_log":0.055,"multiple_of_floor":0.9887,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T09:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.0474,"usd":72807,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.4397,"high_eth":31.746,"low_usd":68912,"high_usd":76923},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.9181,"high_eth":33.5405,"low_usd":65225,"high_usd":81271},"sigma_log":0.055,"multiple_of_floor":0.9887,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T09:04:35.000Z","block":26354795,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T09:04:35.000Z","block":26354795,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 4+","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":52.7},{"pct":-2.5,"beta":-0.0257,"term":"attr:Stringy Hair","label":"Stringy Hair","sales_12m":96,"weighted_sales":12.8},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0225,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110,"weighted_sales":14.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 4+","seen":{"n":135,"cover1":0.6,"cover2":0.815,"bias_pct":-0.9,"within10":0.763,"within25":0.933,"MdALE_pct":4.5},"thin":false,"sigma":0.054,"selection":{"n":177,"cover1":0.712,"cover2":0.921,"bias_pct":-0.5,"within10":0.819,"within25":0.966,"MdALE_pct":3.4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.15,"date":"2020-05-10","block":10037769,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":104,"adjusted_eth":63.5427},{"eth":2.5,"date":"2020-09-13","block":10856482,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":72,"adjusted_eth":55.0543},{"eth":3.95,"date":"2020-09-14","block":10860156,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":166,"adjusted_eth":61.8765},{"eth":11,"date":"2020-12-23","block":11510398,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":294,"adjusted_eth":83.5725},{"eth":65,"date":"2021-07-31","block":12934218,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":188,"adjusted_eth":65.867},{"eth":80,"date":"2022-03-19","block":14418687,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":34.7563},{"eth":74.95,"date":"2022-06-19","block":14991517,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":268,"adjusted_eth":34.1745},{"eth":69,"date":"2022-09-22","block":15589490,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":67,"adjusted_eth":32.7898},{"eth":76.95,"date":"2022-10-26","block":15832865,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":96,"adjusted_eth":35.4588},{"eth":71.69,"date":"2023-01-16","block":16419622,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":120,"adjusted_eth":32.286},{"eth":74.95,"date":"2023-01-29","block":16515717,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":150,"adjusted_eth":34.4068},{"eth":59.4,"date":"2024-01-19","block":19043621,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":15,"adjusted_eth":30.596},{"eth":61.48,"date":"2024-01-20","block":19049223,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":54,"adjusted_eth":30.4048}],"comparables":[{"eth":43,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":9377,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4119,"shared_attributes":4},{"eth":41,"date":"2024-12-01","punk":9377,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9833,"shared_attributes":4},{"eth":31.7,"date":"2026-09-01","punk":2131,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1333,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":32.1899,"date":"2026-08-18","punk":2131,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3805,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":29.05,"date":"2026-08-04","punk":2131,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.8495,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-07-11","punk":2131,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.7882,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":32.44,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":2131,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8368,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":29.35,"date":"2026-01-15","punk":2127,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5775,"shared_attributes":3}],"premium_log":-0.0208,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Black Lipstick","sales_12m":95},{"attribute":"Earring","sales_12m":303},{"attribute":"Nerd Glasses","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 30.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 31.7 ETH, 2σ range 26.9 to 33.5 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 09:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 09:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Stringy Hair -3%, Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 4+ sales landed within ±3.4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3361","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}