{"punk":3364,"name":"CryptoPunk #3364","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3364","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3364.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Purple Lipstick","Mohawk","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.2225,"usd":73232,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.6758,"high_eth":31.8527,"low_usd":69484,"high_usd":77182},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2082,"high_eth":33.5708,"low_usd":65928,"high_usd":81345},"sigma_log":0.0525,"multiple_of_floor":0.9945,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T01:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.2225,"usd":73232,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.6758,"high_eth":31.8527,"low_usd":69484,"high_usd":77182},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2082,"high_eth":33.5708,"low_usd":65928,"high_usd":81345},"sigma_log":0.0525,"multiple_of_floor":0.9945,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T01:04:35.000Z","block":26352400,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T01:04:35.000Z","block":26352400,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":52.7},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":9.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.05,"date":"2020-02-10","block":9458257,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":23,"adjusted_eth":54.0839},{"eth":6.99,"date":"2021-02-03","block":11782083,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":45,"adjusted_eth":38.6933},{"eth":18.8,"date":"2021-03-28","block":12129124,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":54,"adjusted_eth":33.6275},{"eth":28.46,"date":"2026-10-28","block":26294145,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":236,"adjusted_eth":28.9322},{"eth":28.994,"date":"2026-10-30","block":26303149,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":320,"adjusted_eth":30.9233}],"comparables":[{"eth":47.9,"date":"2025-07-23","punk":3593,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8662,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":44.85,"date":"2025-05-12","punk":3593,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9295,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":43.8,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":3593,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9591,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":42.69,"date":"2024-12-02","punk":3593,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1998,"shared_attributes":3},{"eth":32.48,"date":"2026-07-04","punk":9710,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4275,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.48,"date":"2026-06-25","punk":8999,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4153,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-05-16","punk":3241,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.6864,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.6,"date":"2026-05-11","punk":3241,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2979,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.015,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Purple Lipstick","sales_12m":66},{"attribute":"Mohawk","sales_12m":73}],"summary":["Estimate 30.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.7 to 31.9 ETH, 2σ range 27.2 to 33.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[{"sale_day":"2026-10-28","estimate_date":"2026-10-27","price_eth":28.46,"est_eth":30.0728,"low1":28.5125,"high1":31.7185,"low2":27.0332,"high2":33.4543,"z":-1.03,"confidence":"High","source":"native-buy","prospective":true,"model_version":"est-v2-202610","z_text":"1.0σ below the estimate"},{"sale_day":"2026-10-30","estimate_date":"2026-10-29","price_eth":28.994,"est_eth":28.0957,"low1":26.5719,"high1":29.707,"low2":25.1307,"high2":31.4106,"z":0.56,"confidence":"High","source":"native-buy","prospective":true,"model_version":"est-v2-202610","z_text":"0.6σ above the estimate"}],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3364","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}