{"punk":3512,"name":"CryptoPunk #3512","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3512","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3512.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Mohawk Dark","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.8283,"usd":74699,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.2645,"high_eth":32.4757,"low_usd":70910,"high_usd":78691},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.7801,"high_eth":34.211,"low_usd":67313,"high_usd":82896},"sigma_log":0.0521,"multiple_of_floor":1.0144,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.8283,"usd":74699,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.2645,"high_eth":32.4757,"low_usd":70910,"high_usd":78691},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.7801,"high_eth":34.211,"low_usd":67313,"high_usd":82896},"sigma_log":0.0521,"multiple_of_floor":1.0144,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T07:04:35.000Z","block":26354196,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":2.8,"beta":0.0274,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":52.7},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0225,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110,"weighted_sales":14.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.425,"date":"2017-07-13","block":4014888,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":4,"adjusted_eth":34.9074},{"eth":0.18,"date":"2017-08-12","block":4149820,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":10,"adjusted_eth":31.3586},{"eth":0.275,"date":"2019-01-07","block":7027906,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":30.39},{"eth":7.8,"date":"2021-02-13","block":11849121,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":105,"adjusted_eth":32.9225},{"eth":21.5,"date":"2021-03-12","block":12021746,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":118,"adjusted_eth":29.7263},{"eth":22,"date":"2021-07-28","block":12917070,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":14,"adjusted_eth":30.5288},{"eth":66.5,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290430,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":169,"adjusted_eth":29.5027},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-02-27","block":14290590,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":82,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-04-25","block":14653769,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":320,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":58.01,"date":"2022-05-04","block":14711507,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":146,"adjusted_eth":28.6701},{"eth":54.75,"date":"2022-05-17","block":14791107,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":127,"adjusted_eth":32.3015},{"eth":79,"date":"2022-07-16","block":15156096,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":70,"adjusted_eth":28.7867},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-07-27","block":15226889,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":541,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-07-27","block":15226889,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":551,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":35.49,"date":"2025-03-03","block":21966953,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":194,"adjusted_eth":29.9761}],"comparables":[{"eth":29.35,"date":"2026-01-15","punk":2127,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5775,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.88,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":874,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8017,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.09,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":2278,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8926,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":29.39,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":6897,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2936,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":28.99,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":6897,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8949,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":28.44,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":6897,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.3467,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":36,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":3859,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.4058,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-10-06","punk":6936,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4824,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.0049,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53}],"summary":["Estimate 30.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.3 to 32.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.8 to 34.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +3%, Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3512","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}