{"punk":3579,"name":"CryptoPunk #3579","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3579","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3579.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Shaved Head","Cigarette","Classic Shades"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":35.3405,"usd":79013,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.2615,"high_eth":38.7133,"low_usd":72129,"high_usd":86554},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.4508,"high_eth":42.4081,"low_usd":65845,"high_usd":94815},"sigma_log":0.0912,"multiple_of_floor":1.1629,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T04:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":35.3405,"usd":79013,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.2615,"high_eth":38.7133,"low_usd":72129,"high_usd":86554},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.4508,"high_eth":42.4081,"low_usd":65845,"high_usd":94815},"sigma_log":0.0912,"multiple_of_floor":1.1629,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T04:04:35.000Z","block":26360471,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":11,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T04:04:35.000Z","block":26360471,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":11,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.044,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.7,"beta":0.1192,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0758,"term":"attr:Shaved Head","label":"Shaved Head","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":12.4}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":47,"date":"2021-08-17","block":13042237,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":576,"adjusted_eth":34.0079},{"eth":67,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13081221,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":36,"adjusted_eth":30.0847},{"eth":88,"date":"2022-02-02","block":14124681,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":51,"adjusted_eth":36.1639},{"eth":90,"date":"2022-02-03","block":14135607,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":13,"adjusted_eth":39.6679},{"eth":30,"date":"2024-08-24","block":20597177,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":49,"adjusted_eth":32.0457},{"eth":34.8,"date":"2024-11-12","block":21173436,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":193,"adjusted_eth":36.243}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.99,"date":"2026-08-26","punk":8607,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.34,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.2,"date":"2026-08-26","punk":8607,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6395,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2026-08-19","punk":9335,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.6169,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-04-23","punk":9335,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4379,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.5,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":2830,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.3561,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.69,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":9335,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1929,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.99,"date":"2025-11-26","punk":8671,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.6284,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.5,"date":"2025-11-20","punk":1704,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.9602,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0874,"type_multiple":{"sales":773,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0656,"median_multiple":1.0656},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110},{"attribute":"Classic Shades","sales_12m":65}],"summary":["Estimate 35.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.3 to 38.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.5 to 42.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 04:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (773 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Shaved Head -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3579","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}