{"punk":3736,"name":"CryptoPunk #3736","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3736","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3736.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Front Beard Dark","Earring","Frumpy Hair"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":32.0054,"usd":72768,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.5386,"high_eth":34.6782,"low_usd":67160,"high_usd":78845},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2618,"high_eth":37.5743,"low_usd":61983,"high_usd":85430},"sigma_log":0.0802,"multiple_of_floor":1.0532,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":31.5841,"usd":71810,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.1498,"high_eth":34.2218,"low_usd":66276,"high_usd":77808},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.903,"high_eth":37.0797,"low_usd":61167,"high_usd":84305},"sigma_log":0.0802,"multiple_of_floor":1.0532,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":53,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":53,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.4},{"pct":-2.4,"beta":-0.0241,"term":"attr:Earring","label":"Earring","sales_12m":306,"weighted_sales":71.1},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.076,"term":"attr:Frumpy Hair","label":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":60,"weighted_sales":20}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":7.75,"date":"2021-02-14","block":11854875,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":50,"adjusted_eth":28.1724},{"eth":19.99,"date":"2021-04-12","block":12223306,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":85,"adjusted_eth":29.2582},{"eth":14.9,"date":"2021-05-24","block":12496022,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":74,"adjusted_eth":29.7901},{"eth":47,"date":"2021-08-08","block":12983881,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":3,"adjusted_eth":30.9787},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-08-08","block":12984634,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":113,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-11-30","block":13716845,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":42,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2021-11-30","block":13716845,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":46,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":68,"date":"2022-10-12","block":15729009,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":106,"adjusted_eth":30.6711},{"eth":66.69,"date":"2023-01-25","block":16485404,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":65,"adjusted_eth":30.3357},{"eth":65.95,"date":"2023-02-10","block":16599528,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":192,"adjusted_eth":31.2504},{"eth":43.33,"date":"2023-10-23","block":18413684,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":199,"adjusted_eth":30.3047},{"eth":30.25,"date":"2024-09-10","block":20721597,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":60,"adjusted_eth":30.7525},{"eth":29.26,"date":"2024-09-18","block":20779112,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":350,"adjusted_eth":29.898},{"eth":28.49,"date":"2024-10-09","block":20928523,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":156,"adjusted_eth":30.7565},{"eth":42,"date":"2024-12-18","block":21428247,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":198,"adjusted_eth":31.3017},{"eth":37.4,"date":"2025-02-17","block":21868506,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":176,"adjusted_eth":31.604},{"eth":43.67,"date":"2025-03-13","block":22038218,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":270,"adjusted_eth":34.1147}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.419,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.31,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.6714,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.99,"date":"2026-09-29","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.8107,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7483,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30,"date":"2026-09-09","punk":7559,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0802,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.4,"date":"2026-08-29","punk":3218,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4792,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9623,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-07-31","punk":8949,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.5271,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.0115,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 32.0 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.5 to 34.7 ETH, 2σ range 27.3 to 37.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Earring -2%, Frumpy Hair -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3736","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}