{"punk":3757,"name":"CryptoPunk #3757","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3757","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3757.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Hot Lipstick","Choker","Crazy Hair"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":36.0834,"usd":80674,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.7596,"high_eth":39.7444,"low_usd":73243,"high_usd":88860},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7419,"high_eth":43.7769,"low_usd":66496,"high_usd":97875},"sigma_log":0.0966,"multiple_of_floor":1.1873,"n1_eth":30.6589,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T01:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":36.0834,"usd":80674,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.7596,"high_eth":39.7444,"low_usd":73243,"high_usd":88860},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7419,"high_eth":43.7769,"low_usd":66496,"high_usd":97875},"sigma_log":0.0966,"multiple_of_floor":1.1873,"n1_eth":30.6589,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T01:04:35.000Z","block":26359575,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":9,"stale":false,"label":"as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T01:04:35.000Z","block":26359575,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":9,"stale":false,"label":"as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":127.5,"ask_usd":285126,"z":13.07,"z_text":"13.1σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2022-09-19T22:22:59.000Z","days_listed":1509},"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":17.7,"beta":0.1629,"term":"attr:Choker","label":"Choker","sales_12m":2,"weighted_sales":0.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":25,"date":"2021-02-12","block":11843539,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":163,"adjusted_eth":125.5785},{"eth":50,"date":"2021-02-16","block":11868766,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":65,"adjusted_eth":180.8929},{"eth":60,"date":"2021-04-08","block":12201055,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":30,"adjusted_eth":92.6054}],"comparables":[{"eth":55.5,"date":"2025-06-11","punk":602,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.3503,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50,"date":"2025-04-24","punk":7136,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.2552,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":40.99,"date":"2025-03-24","punk":2735,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8011,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":50.9949,"date":"2025-03-23","punk":7942,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.7531,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39,"date":"2025-03-15","punk":7136,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8729,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45,"date":"2024-12-31","punk":7942,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":37.2224,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":125,"date":"2024-12-04","punk":2202,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":85.4997,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28,"date":"2024-11-11","punk":7136,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8545,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1629,"type_multiple":{"sales":439,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0088,"median_multiple":1.0088},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Hot Lipstick","sales_12m":87},{"attribute":"Crazy Hair","sales_12m":59}],"summary":["Estimate 36.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.8 to 39.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 01:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 01:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (439 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Choker +18%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3757","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}