{"punk":3762,"name":"CryptoPunk #3762","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/3762","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/3762.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Spots","Mustache","Do-rag"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":36.056,"usd":81978,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.742,"high_eth":39.7055,"low_usd":74443,"high_usd":90276},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.7325,"high_eth":43.7243,"low_usd":67601,"high_usd":99413},"sigma_log":0.0964,"multiple_of_floor":1.1864,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":35.5814,"usd":80899,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.311,"high_eth":39.1829,"low_usd":73463,"high_usd":89087},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.3412,"high_eth":43.1488,"low_usd":66711,"high_usd":98104},"sigma_log":0.0964,"multiple_of_floor":1.1864,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":39,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-5.5,"beta":-0.0565,"term":"attr:Do-rag","label":"Do-rag","sales_12m":52,"weighted_sales":18}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.33,"date":"2019-01-20","block":7100754,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":14,"adjusted_eth":33.0993},{"eth":0.43,"date":"2019-05-30","block":7862047,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":66,"adjusted_eth":29.3084},{"eth":0.34,"date":"2019-12-08","block":9068921,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":130,"adjusted_eth":27.5584},{"eth":0.37,"date":"2019-12-09","block":9080006,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":29.99},{"eth":19.99,"date":"2021-07-12","block":12814614,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":90,"adjusted_eth":31.5526},{"eth":21.75,"date":"2021-07-15","block":12831367,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":357,"adjusted_eth":33.1108},{"eth":22.75,"date":"2021-07-25","block":12892177,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":102,"adjusted_eth":32.5046},{"eth":26.9,"date":"2021-07-30","block":12929843,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":215,"adjusted_eth":31.1239},{"eth":30,"date":"2024-09-09","block":20713297,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":170,"adjusted_eth":30.2116},{"eth":32.95,"date":"2024-11-13","block":21181987,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":297,"adjusted_eth":30.0447},{"eth":35.98,"date":"2025-02-19","block":21877312,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":494,"adjusted_eth":30.4126},{"eth":47.5,"date":"2025-04-22","block":22324702,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":122,"adjusted_eth":32.3977}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.7,"date":"2026-02-01","punk":6883,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.725,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27,"date":"2026-01-31","punk":4511,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.5091,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.5,"date":"2026-01-16","punk":6883,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.7162,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-01-15","punk":4511,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.8714,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-01-10","punk":6883,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.805,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.99,"date":"2025-12-10","punk":4511,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8014,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.49,"date":"2025-12-09","punk":4511,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3149,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.11,"date":"2025-12-09","punk":4511,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8705,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1076,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Spots","sales_12m":14},{"attribute":"Mustache","sales_12m":51}],"summary":["Estimate 36.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.7 to 39.7 ETH, 2σ range 29.7 to 43.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Do-rag -6%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/3762","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}