{"punk":5054,"name":"CryptoPunk #5054","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5054","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5054.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Clown Eyes Blue"],"attribute_count":1,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.6779,"usd":74335,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":24.8919,"high_eth":37.8089,"low_usd":60315,"high_usd":91614},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":20.1972,"high_eth":46.5974,"low_usd":48939,"high_usd":112909},"sigma_log":0.209,"multiple_of_floor":1.0095,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 0-1","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.6779,"usd":74335,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":24.8919,"high_eth":37.8089,"low_usd":60315,"high_usd":91614},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":20.1972,"high_eth":46.5974,"low_usd":48939,"high_usd":112909},"sigma_log":0.209,"multiple_of_floor":1.0095,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Medium","cell":"Female 0-1","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":48,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":48,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 0-1","terms":[],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 0-1","seen":{"n":18,"cover1":0.778,"cover2":1,"bias_pct":13.4,"within10":0.222,"within25":0.778,"MdALE_pct":19.5},"thin":true,"sigma":0.209,"selection":{"n":28,"cover1":0.821,"cover2":0.964,"bias_pct":2.3,"within10":0.607,"within25":0.857,"MdALE_pct":9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":54,"date":"2021-04-30","block":12338766,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":69,"adjusted_eth":79.6631},{"eth":165,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13114970,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":63,"adjusted_eth":36.4159},{"eth":47,"date":"2025-10-13","block":23569663,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":30.7168},{"eth":34,"date":"2026-05-11","block":25075181,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":151,"adjusted_eth":34.8016}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.9807,"date":"2026-10-31","punk":1930,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.959,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":5084,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8983,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.27,"date":"2026-10-24","punk":4140,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9542,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":28.73,"date":"2026-10-19","punk":5084,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.4863,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":29.6,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":1930,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0269,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":29.86,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":1930,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.2819,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.201,"date":"2026-10-07","punk":4140,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.7534,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.46,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":7897,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0135,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Clown Eyes Blue","sales_12m":65}],"summary":["Estimate 30.7 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.9 to 37.8 ETH, 2σ range 20.2 to 46.6 ETH, confidence Medium, as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 12:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","No attribute of this punk has a clear premium in recent sales, so the estimate is the type multiple.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 0-1 sales landed within ±9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±19.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5054","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}