{"punk":5352,"name":"CryptoPunk #5352","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5352","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5352.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Front Beard","Peak Spike","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":33.303,"usd":80696,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.7054,"high_eth":36.1203,"low_usd":74402,"high_usd":87522},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.3105,"high_eth":39.176,"low_usd":68599,"high_usd":94927},"sigma_log":0.0812,"multiple_of_floor":1.0959,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","basis":"daily close"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":33.303,"usd":80696,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.7054,"high_eth":36.1203,"low_usd":74402,"high_usd":87522},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.3105,"high_eth":39.176,"low_usd":68599,"high_usd":94927},"sigma_log":0.0812,"multiple_of_floor":1.0959,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"daily close","as_of":"2026-11-06T00:00:00.000Z","block":null,"eth":30.39,"punk":null,"public_asks":null,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0757,"term":"attr:Front Beard","label":"Front Beard","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":11.3},{"pct":-5.8,"beta":-0.0603,"term":"attr:Peak Spike","label":"Peak Spike","sales_12m":41,"weighted_sales":14.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2019-09-15","block":8555685,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":8,"adjusted_eth":25.325},{"eth":0.37,"date":"2019-12-17","block":9121906,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":110,"adjusted_eth":32.1266},{"eth":18.1,"date":"2021-03-23","block":12097841,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":238,"adjusted_eth":27.1634},{"eth":24.4,"date":"2021-04-15","block":12241735,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":31,"adjusted_eth":38.046},{"eth":67.5,"date":"2022-09-14","block":15532484,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":284,"adjusted_eth":31.0854},{"eth":69.95,"date":"2022-09-27","block":15627646,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":32.2626},{"eth":69,"date":"2022-10-26","block":15832955,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":118,"adjusted_eth":31.7955},{"eth":69,"date":"2022-10-27","block":15841091,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":38,"adjusted_eth":32.5102},{"eth":73.95,"date":"2022-11-03","block":15889885,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":112,"adjusted_eth":33.6378},{"eth":71,"date":"2023-01-10","block":16379643,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":40,"adjusted_eth":32.3056},{"eth":69.69,"date":"2023-02-08","block":16584451,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":222,"adjusted_eth":33.1177},{"eth":28,"date":"2024-06-13","block":20084897,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":5,"adjusted_eth":30.7302},{"eth":31.69,"date":"2024-11-12","block":21173972,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":12,"adjusted_eth":33.0041},{"eth":41.69,"date":"2024-12-06","block":21344896,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":424,"adjusted_eth":30.2449},{"eth":44.69,"date":"2024-12-17","block":21420075,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":5,"adjusted_eth":34.0383}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.33,"date":"2026-09-11","punk":8557,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.9812,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.49,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":1106,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0842,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.5,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":2830,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.3561,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":120,"date":"2026-01-20","punk":9901,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":133.8767,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.5,"date":"2025-11-20","punk":1704,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.9602,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.9,"date":"2025-10-31","punk":8783,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.7808,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49.5,"date":"2025-10-06","punk":8109,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8892,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47,"date":"2025-09-23","punk":8109,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7234,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0279,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110}],"summary":["Estimate 33.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.7 to 36.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.3 to 39.2 ETH, confidence High, as of 00:00 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Front Beard -7%, Peak Spike -6%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5352","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}