{"punk":5385,"name":"CryptoPunk #5385","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5385","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5385.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Red Mohawk","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":29.4415,"usd":66939,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.834,"high_eth":31.1419,"low_usd":63284,"high_usd":70805},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.3143,"high_eth":32.9404,"low_usd":59829,"high_usd":74894},"sigma_log":0.0561,"multiple_of_floor":0.9688,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.054,"usd":66058,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.4676,"high_eth":30.732,"low_usd":62451,"high_usd":69873},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.9679,"high_eth":32.5068,"low_usd":59041,"high_usd":73908},"sigma_log":0.0561,"multiple_of_floor":0.9688,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T21:04:35.000Z","block":26351205,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":52,"stale":false,"label":"as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":10}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.45,"date":"2019-05-06","block":7707869,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":95,"adjusted_eth":30.6716},{"eth":22,"date":"2021-04-24","block":12304405,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":73,"adjusted_eth":33.0055},{"eth":84,"date":"2021-11-10","block":13590122,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":61,"adjusted_eth":30.3513}],"comparables":[{"eth":48.99,"date":"2025-08-22","punk":8635,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9839,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.99,"date":"2025-03-31","punk":5036,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.0883,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.994,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5163,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":28.46,"date":"2026-10-28","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.5514,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-10-22","punk":9849,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6901,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.46,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":7897,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.6316,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.7,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":471,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8433,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34.485,"date":"2026-08-24","punk":6570,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.8806,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0424,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Red Mohawk","sales_12m":10}],"summary":["Estimate 29.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.8 to 31.1 ETH, 2σ range 26.3 to 32.9 ETH, confidence Low, as of 21:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 21:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5385","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}