{"punk":5670,"name":"CryptoPunk #5670","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5670","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5670.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Orange Side","Welding Goggles"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":50.4007,"usd":122125,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":39.1103,"high_eth":64.9503,"low_usd":94767,"high_usd":157380},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3491,"high_eth":83.7002,"low_usd":73538,"high_usd":202812},"sigma_log":0.2536,"multiple_of_floor":1.6585,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":50.4007,"usd":122125,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":39.1103,"high_eth":64.9503,"low_usd":94767,"high_usd":157380},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.3491,"high_eth":83.7002,"low_usd":73538,"high_usd":202812},"sigma_log":0.2536,"multiple_of_floor":1.6585,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":26,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":26,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":405,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":27.1,"beta":0.2395,"term":"attr:Orange Side","label":"Orange Side","sales_12m":5,"weighted_sales":1.8},{"pct":29.3,"beta":0.2569,"term":"attr:Welding Goggles","label":"Welding Goggles","sales_12m":4,"weighted_sales":0.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.31,"date":"2017-11-15","block":4556376,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":25,"adjusted_eth":104.6767}],"comparables":[{"eth":50.5,"date":"2026-08-23","punk":5541,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":47.9892,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":52.5,"date":"2026-07-07","punk":1470,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":49.1823,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":39.99,"date":"2026-07-06","punk":5168,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.4629,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":48.87,"date":"2026-07-02","punk":4456,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":46.4548,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.33,"date":"2026-04-18","punk":3267,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.823,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":60,"date":"2026-02-07","punk":2218,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":61.065,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":40.9,"date":"2026-02-06","punk":3648,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":41.626,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.5,"date":"2026-01-19","punk":6674,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8181,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.4965,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 50.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 39.1 to 65.0 ETH, 2σ range 30.3 to 83.7 ETH, confidence Low, as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 12:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Orange Side +27%, Welding Goggles +29%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5670","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}