{"punk":5706,"name":"CryptoPunk #5706","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5706","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5706.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Wild Hair","Regular Shades"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":39.1958,"usd":87633,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.6057,"high_eth":44.3949,"low_usd":77371,"high_usd":99257},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.5531,"high_eth":50.2835,"low_usd":68310,"high_usd":112423},"sigma_log":0.1246,"multiple_of_floor":1.2898,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T07:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":39.1958,"usd":87633,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.6057,"high_eth":44.3949,"low_usd":77371,"high_usd":99257},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.5531,"high_eth":50.2835,"low_usd":68310,"high_usd":112423},"sigma_log":0.1246,"multiple_of_floor":1.2898,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T07:04:23.000Z","block":26361366,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T07:04:23.000Z","block":26361366,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.044,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.9,"beta":0.1819,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.5},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":100.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2017-09-17","block":4282475,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":64,"adjusted_eth":39.9868},{"eth":25,"date":"2021-02-23","block":11916012,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":41,"adjusted_eth":32.4679},{"eth":25,"date":"2021-03-10","block":12011953,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":168,"adjusted_eth":44.7175},{"eth":37,"date":"2021-03-13","block":12032731,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":146,"adjusted_eth":51.1802}],"comparables":[{"eth":32,"date":"2026-01-12","punk":7950,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.3269,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.29,"date":"2025-08-22","punk":750,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3295,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":47.5,"date":"2025-08-18","punk":750,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.532,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.5,"date":"2025-08-09","punk":750,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.1302,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":52,"date":"2025-08-08","punk":750,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4828,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.69,"date":"2024-11-27","punk":7773,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":38.153,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":27.86,"date":"2026-11-06","punk":5198,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.86,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.62,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":3425,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.6018,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.1909,"type_multiple":{"sales":773,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0656,"median_multiple":1.0656},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Wild Hair","sales_12m":52},{"attribute":"Regular Shades","sales_12m":48}],"summary":["Estimate 39.2 ETH (beta), 1σ range 34.6 to 44.4 ETH, 2σ range 30.6 to 50.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 07:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 07:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (773 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5706","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}