{"punk":5734,"name":"CryptoPunk #5734","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5734","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5734.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Mole","Tiara","Green Eye Shadow"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":54.5642,"usd":124059,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":40.7478,"high_eth":73.0651,"low_usd":92645,"high_usd":166123},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.4299,"high_eth":97.8393,"low_usd":69186,"high_usd":222450},"sigma_log":0.292,"multiple_of_floor":1.7955,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":53.846,"usd":122426,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":40.2115,"high_eth":72.1034,"low_usd":91426,"high_usd":163936},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0294,"high_eth":96.5515,"low_usd":68276,"high_usd":219522},"sigma_log":0.292,"multiple_of_floor":1.7955,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":54,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":54,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":{"ask_eth":75,"ask_usd":167273,"z":1.09,"z_text":"1.1σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2026-03-22T07:59:11.000Z","days_listed":228},"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4,"beta":0.0392,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":42.5},{"pct":70.8,"beta":0.5354,"term":"attr:Tiara","label":"Tiara","sales_12m":4,"weighted_sales":1.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.25,"date":"2017-06-28","block":3942687,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":15,"adjusted_eth":49.9833},{"eth":91.5,"date":"2021-03-19","block":12068903,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":73,"adjusted_eth":130.733},{"eth":189,"date":"2021-08-12","block":13012045,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":196,"adjusted_eth":123.2198},{"eth":46,"date":"2026-02-05","block":24391761,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":303,"adjusted_eth":46.1385}],"comparables":[{"eth":42,"date":"2025-07-20","punk":4348,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":26.6578,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.9,"date":"2025-07-04","punk":4348,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.3824,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.69,"date":"2025-03-02","punk":4348,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.9067,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":55,"date":"2025-02-27","punk":6182,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":48.3852,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.93,"date":"2025-02-05","punk":3721,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1039,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":35.75,"date":"2025-01-17","punk":3721,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":28.2187,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":37.5,"date":"2024-12-18","punk":4348,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.9479,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.39,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":6897,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.908,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.5746,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Mole","sales_12m":89},{"attribute":"Green Eye Shadow","sales_12m":32}],"summary":["Estimate 54.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 40.7 to 73.1 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 97.8 ETH, confidence Low, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Tiara +71%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5734","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}