{"punk":5965,"name":"CryptoPunk #5965","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/5965","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/5965.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Do-rag","Regular Shades"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":30.8999,"usd":74873,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.428,"high_eth":33.5868,"low_usd":68883,"high_usd":81384},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.1539,"high_eth":36.5072,"low_usd":63373,"high_usd":88460},"sigma_log":0.0834,"multiple_of_floor":1.0168,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.8999,"usd":74873,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.428,"high_eth":33.5868,"low_usd":68883,"high_usd":81384},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":26.1539,"high_eth":36.5072,"low_usd":63373,"high_usd":88460},"sigma_log":0.0834,"multiple_of_floor":1.0168,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":62.8378,"ask_usd":140491,"z":8.51,"z_text":"8.5σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-10-06T12:34:11.000Z","days_listed":395},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":101.6},{"pct":-5.5,"beta":-0.0565,"term":"attr:Do-rag","label":"Do-rag","sales_12m":51,"weighted_sales":17.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":1.45,"date":"2020-09-14","block":10862264,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":323,"adjusted_eth":22.7142},{"eth":4.95,"date":"2020-10-02","block":10973820,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":241,"adjusted_eth":27.351},{"eth":4.4,"date":"2020-10-08","block":11011793,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":31.4626},{"eth":4.99,"date":"2020-10-09","block":11023232,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":49,"adjusted_eth":33.6991},{"eth":7.99,"date":"2021-02-16","block":11866739,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":152,"adjusted_eth":28.9067},{"eth":18,"date":"2021-03-08","block":12000375,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":138,"adjusted_eth":28.0523},{"eth":23.4,"date":"2021-03-16","block":12049679,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":21,"adjusted_eth":32.3975},{"eth":26.24,"date":"2024-11-07","block":21136749,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":180,"adjusted_eth":30.6587},{"eth":46.8,"date":"2025-08-25","block":23216216,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":150,"adjusted_eth":29.4951},{"eth":46.99,"date":"2025-08-30","block":23253331,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"twin-of-nominal-24h","log_index":704,"adjusted_eth":30.4613},{"eth":0,"date":"2025-08-30","block":23253345,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":96,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":47.47,"date":"2025-10-04","block":23504296,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":19,"adjusted_eth":29.5013},{"eth":48.88,"date":"2025-10-06","block":23518758,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"relay-same-block","log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":30.5023},{"eth":52.3649,"date":"2025-10-06","block":23518758,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":21,"adjusted_eth":32.677}],"comparables":[{"eth":28.98,"date":"2026-02-23","punk":6755,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.4944,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.5,"date":"2025-05-18","punk":8306,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":35.542,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.6,"date":"2025-05-10","punk":8306,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.0048,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.5,"date":"2026-10-25","punk":9404,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.2116,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.01,"date":"2026-10-09","punk":3667,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.8569,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.67,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":3667,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3878,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":35,"date":"2026-10-03","punk":9872,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.2416,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33,"date":"2026-10-02","punk":2224,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":30.3992,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.047,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Regular Shades","sales_12m":47}],"summary":["Estimate 30.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 28.4 to 33.6 ETH, 2σ range 26.2 to 36.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Do-rag -6%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/5965","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}