{"punk":6000,"name":"CryptoPunk #6000","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6000","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6000.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Front Beard","Crazy Hair"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":34.1216,"usd":77580,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.3664,"high_eth":37.1189,"low_usd":71315,"high_usd":84394},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.8336,"high_eth":40.3794,"low_usd":65557,"high_usd":91808},"sigma_log":0.0842,"multiple_of_floor":1.1228,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":33.6725,"usd":76559,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.9535,"high_eth":36.6303,"low_usd":70377,"high_usd":83284},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.4541,"high_eth":39.8479,"low_usd":64694,"high_usd":90599},"sigma_log":0.0842,"multiple_of_floor":1.1228,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T23:04:35.000Z","block":26351802,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":44,"stale":false,"label":"as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":67},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":102.4},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0757,"term":"attr:Front Beard","label":"Front Beard","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":11.3}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":19,"date":"2021-03-29","block":12133688,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":51,"adjusted_eth":32.102},{"eth":80,"date":"2021-12-10","block":13779756,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":31,"adjusted_eth":35.3083},{"eth":99,"date":"2022-01-27","block":14090486,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":39,"adjusted_eth":37.346},{"eth":69.99,"date":"2022-03-10","block":14360039,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":43,"adjusted_eth":31.5639},{"eth":82.9,"date":"2022-06-21","block":15001622,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":36.8595},{"eth":80,"date":"2023-11-14","block":18568386,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":259,"adjusted_eth":41.8489}],"comparables":[{"eth":32.89,"date":"2026-05-17","punk":7310,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6653,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45.92,"date":"2025-06-13","punk":3836,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.3058,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45,"date":"2025-05-04","punk":3836,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.602,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.499,"date":"2026-10-27","punk":9176,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.9989,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":45,"date":"2026-10-24","punk":8879,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":43.9593,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":60,"date":"2026-10-21","punk":6066,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":57.544,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":29.99,"date":"2026-10-16","punk":7608,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0129,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-10-16","punk":8871,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9574,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.0525,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Crazy Hair","sales_12m":59}],"summary":["Estimate 34.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.4 to 37.1 ETH, 2σ range 28.8 to 40.4 ETH, confidence High, as of 23:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 23:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Front Beard -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6000","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}