{"punk":6091,"name":"CryptoPunk #6091","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6091","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6091.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Clown Nose"],"attribute_count":1,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":40.1258,"usd":97228,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.7267,"high_eth":50.7485,"low_usd":76876,"high_usd":122968},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.0857,"high_eth":64.1834,"low_usd":60785,"high_usd":155522},"sigma_log":0.2349,"multiple_of_floor":1.3204,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 0-1","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":40.1258,"usd":97228,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.7267,"high_eth":50.7485,"low_usd":76876,"high_usd":122968},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.0857,"high_eth":64.1834,"low_usd":60785,"high_usd":155522},"sigma_log":0.2349,"multiple_of_floor":1.3204,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 0-1","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":37,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 0-1","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.1,"beta":0.0958,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":88.6},{"pct":14.9,"beta":0.1387,"term":"count1","label":"1 attribute (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":3.5},{"pct":-6.4,"beta":-0.0656,"term":"attr:Clown Nose","label":"Clown Nose","sales_12m":25,"weighted_sales":6.1}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 0-1","seen":{"n":16,"cover1":0.5,"cover2":0.625,"bias_pct":27.5,"within10":0.25,"within25":0.5,"MdALE_pct":27.5},"thin":true,"sigma":0.209,"selection":{"n":35,"cover1":0.714,"cover2":0.914,"bias_pct":6.6,"within10":0.571,"within25":0.714,"MdALE_pct":7.8}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.55,"date":"2017-08-20","block":4183162,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":75.975},{"eth":12.39,"date":"2020-09-13","block":10852778,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":160,"adjusted_eth":272.8493},{"eth":76,"date":"2025-01-19","block":21659833,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":230,"adjusted_eth":60.796}],"comparables":[{"eth":36,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":192,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.4737,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":34.45,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7922,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.49,"date":"2026-09-02","punk":4255,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.3201,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.45,"date":"2026-08-05","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1917,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":48.69,"date":"2026-07-28","punk":5631,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":45.7117,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":33.49,"date":"2026-07-26","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4221,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":30.101,"date":"2026-07-14","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.2075,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.79,"date":"2026-06-28","punk":4255,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.6612,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":0.2143,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 40.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.7 to 50.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.1 to 64.2 ETH, confidence Low, as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 05:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, 1 attribute (vs 3) +15%, Clown Nose -6%.","In the backtest, Male 0-1 sales landed within ±7.8% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±27.5% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6091","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}