{"punk":6322,"name":"CryptoPunk #6322","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6322","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6322.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Mole","Vampire Hair"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-06","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-07T00:20:34.586Z","fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"estimate":{"eth":27.2893,"usd":61013,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":24.2726,"high_eth":30.6809,"low_usd":54268,"high_usd":68596},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":21.5894,"high_eth":34.4939,"low_usd":48269,"high_usd":77121},"sigma_log":0.1171,"multiple_of_floor":0.898,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-07T04:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":27.2893,"usd":61013,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":24.2726,"high_eth":30.6809,"low_usd":54268,"high_usd":68596},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":21.5894,"high_eth":34.4939,"low_usd":48269,"high_usd":77121},"sigma_log":0.1171,"multiple_of_floor":0.898,"n1_eth":32.3833,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"76e58439a099cc8cd66c5865a3915bee905a819a57c55e8ad375b9f5abdc46a1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T04:04:35.000Z","block":26360471,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":11,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2235.7745744284666,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-07T04:04:35.000Z","block":26360471,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":11,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-07","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.5,"beta":0.044,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-3.4,"beta":-0.035,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":100.8},{"pct":-6.7,"beta":-0.0693,"term":"attr:Mole","label":"Mole","sales_12m":89,"weighted_sales":22.4},{"pct":-10.5,"beta":-0.1109,"term":"attr:Vampire Hair","label":"Vampire Hair","sales_12m":18,"weighted_sales":6.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.05,"date":"2018-05-29","block":5694090,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":30.39},{"eth":0.5,"date":"2020-03-26","block":9744102,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":10,"adjusted_eth":28.6698},{"eth":60,"date":"2021-08-23","block":13081268,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":73,"adjusted_eth":26.9415},{"eth":88,"date":"2021-08-27","block":13107618,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":46,"adjusted_eth":29.0687},{"eth":95,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13111816,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":70,"adjusted_eth":20.9667},{"eth":100,"date":"2021-09-11","block":13204669,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":133,"adjusted_eth":36.6189},{"eth":109.55,"date":"2021-09-25","block":13295848,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":80,"adjusted_eth":30.8262},{"eth":90,"date":"2021-11-03","block":13544877,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":49,"adjusted_eth":28.7905},{"eth":91.99,"date":"2021-11-26","block":13692491,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":32.9085},{"eth":55.83,"date":"2023-12-08","block":18744391,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":30.3574},{"eth":29,"date":"2024-09-26","block":20835883,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":35,"adjusted_eth":31.5995}],"comparables":[{"eth":33.99,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":9541,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.3212,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.9,"date":"2026-06-11","punk":9541,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.2933,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":29.8,"date":"2026-02-05","punk":9541,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2884,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28,"date":"2026-02-03","punk":9541,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.5272,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54.98,"date":"2025-08-08","punk":9541,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1724,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":62,"date":"2025-07-28","punk":3928,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.9052,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.25,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":4282,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.2301,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.62,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":3425,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":27.6018,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.1711,"type_multiple":{"sales":773,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0656,"median_multiple":1.0656},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 27.3 ETH (beta), 1σ range 24.3 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 21.6 to 34.5 ETH, confidence Low, as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-06).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 04:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-06.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (773 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -3%, Mole -7%, Vampire Hair -11%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6322","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}