{"punk":6324,"name":"CryptoPunk #6324","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6324","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6324.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Frumpy Hair","Clown Eyes Green"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":30.6194,"usd":69617,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":29.0673,"high_eth":32.2545,"low_usd":66088,"high_usd":73335},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.5937,"high_eth":33.9769,"low_usd":62738,"high_usd":77251},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0075,"n1_eth":30.7154,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":30.2164,"usd":68701,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":28.6847,"high_eth":31.83,"low_usd":65218,"high_usd":72370},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.2305,"high_eth":33.5297,"low_usd":61912,"high_usd":76234},"sigma_log":0.052,"multiple_of_floor":1.0075,"n1_eth":30.3111,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":38,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":38,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4,"beta":0.0392,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":42.5},{"pct":-4.1,"beta":-0.0424,"term":"attr:Clown Eyes Green","label":"Clown Eyes Green","sales_12m":61,"weighted_sales":10}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.5,"date":"2019-06-14","block":7955481,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":78,"adjusted_eth":37.4875},{"eth":53,"date":"2025-08-12","block":23128276,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":41,"adjusted_eth":29.4374},{"eth":53.995,"date":"2025-08-13","block":23132504,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":266,"adjusted_eth":31.1406},{"eth":28,"date":"2026-02-11","block":24435358,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":259,"adjusted_eth":28.1219},{"eth":31,"date":"2026-02-14","block":24453928,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":111,"adjusted_eth":31.1454}],"comparables":[{"eth":39.99,"date":"2025-02-06","punk":6321,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.9899,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.25,"date":"2024-11-28","punk":250,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.7642,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.994,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5163,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":28.46,"date":"2026-10-28","punk":3364,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.5514,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":29,"date":"2026-10-26","punk":2486,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.5152,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":31.721,"date":"2026-10-02","punk":4351,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8364,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.7,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":471,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8433,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":37,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":1914,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.6362,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0031,"type_multiple":{"sales":442,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0107,"median_multiple":1.0107},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":60}],"summary":["Estimate 30.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 29.1 to 32.3 ETH, 2σ range 27.6 to 34.0 ETH, confidence High, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (442 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +4%, Clown Eyes Green -4%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6324","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}