{"punk":6603,"name":"CryptoPunk #6603","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6603","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6603.svg","type":"Female","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Headband","Cigarette"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":28.8894,"usd":70001,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.2056,"high_eth":30.6774,"low_usd":65921,"high_usd":74334},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.62,"high_eth":32.576,"low_usd":62079,"high_usd":78934},"sigma_log":0.0601,"multiple_of_floor":0.9506,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":28.8894,"usd":70001,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":27.2056,"high_eth":30.6774,"low_usd":65921,"high_usd":74334},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":25.62,"high_eth":32.576,"low_usd":62079,"high_usd":78934},"sigma_log":0.0601,"multiple_of_floor":0.9506,"n1_eth":30.6779,"confidence":"High","cell":"Female 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","block":26353297,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T04:04:23.000Z","block":26353297,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":10,"stale":false,"label":"as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Female","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.4,"public_asks":407,"punk":6263}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Female 2-3","terms":[{"pct":-3.7,"beta":-0.0376,"term":"attr:Headband","label":"Headband","sales_12m":48,"weighted_sales":5},{"pct":-2.2,"beta":-0.0225,"term":"attr:Cigarette","label":"Cigarette","sales_12m":110,"weighted_sales":14.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Female 2-3","seen":{"n":839,"cover1":0.634,"cover2":0.871,"bias_pct":-0.6,"within10":0.802,"within25":0.952,"MdALE_pct":4.1},"thin":false,"sigma":0.052,"selection":{"n":1056,"cover1":0.688,"cover2":0.916,"bias_pct":-1.5,"within10":0.841,"within25":0.968,"MdALE_pct":4}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.46,"date":"2017-07-13","block":4017819,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":40,"adjusted_eth":37.7822},{"eth":0.22,"date":"2017-09-10","block":4259141,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":68,"adjusted_eth":37.1433},{"eth":68.27,"date":"2022-01-20","block":14045217,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":37,"adjusted_eth":32.4429},{"eth":70,"date":"2022-02-04","block":14139819,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":1763,"adjusted_eth":31.7745},{"eth":70.99,"date":"2022-03-02","block":14304910,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":87,"adjusted_eth":31.3118},{"eth":67,"date":"2022-03-13","block":14376325,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":34,"adjusted_eth":29.217},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-03-15","block":14388378,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":367,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2022-03-15","block":14388378,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":371,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":43.5,"date":"2023-10-09","block":18314845,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":333,"adjusted_eth":29.067},{"eth":32.47,"date":"2026-07-12","block":25517174,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":419,"adjusted_eth":30.4181}],"comparables":[{"eth":53.83,"date":"2025-07-29","punk":8917,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8776,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":42.95,"date":"2025-04-22","punk":8917,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.685,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":41.42,"date":"2025-04-11","punk":8917,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":29.6177,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.88,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":874,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8017,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":27.09,"date":"2026-10-30","punk":2278,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8926,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":36,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":3859,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.4058,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":32.49,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":5931,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0403,"shared_attributes":1},{"eth":38.69,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":9310,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.582,"shared_attributes":1}],"premium_log":-0.0601,"type_multiple":{"sales":440,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0095,"median_multiple":1.0095},"no_clear_premium":[],"summary":["Estimate 28.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 27.2 to 30.7 ETH, 2σ range 25.6 to 32.6 ETH, confidence High, as of 04:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 04:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Female punks sold at a median 1.01x the floor of the day before (440 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Headband -4%, Cigarette -2%.","Female estimates sit close to the floor by design: in the backtest the floor times the type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","In the backtest, Female 2-3 sales landed within ±4% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±4.1% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6603","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}