{"punk":6669,"name":"CryptoPunk #6669","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6669","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6669.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Mole","Front Beard","Police Cap","VR"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":35.894,"usd":86974,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.388,"high_eth":39.7797,"low_usd":78479,"high_usd":96389},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.2243,"high_eth":44.0859,"low_usd":70813,"high_usd":106824},"sigma_log":0.1028,"multiple_of_floor":1.1811,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":35.894,"usd":86974,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":32.388,"high_eth":39.7797,"low_usd":78479,"high_usd":96389},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.2243,"high_eth":44.0859,"low_usd":70813,"high_usd":106824},"sigma_log":0.1028,"multiple_of_floor":1.1811,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T05:04:35.000Z","block":26353598,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":57,"stale":false,"label":"as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-6.7,"beta":-0.0698,"term":"attr:Mole","label":"Mole","sales_12m":89,"weighted_sales":22.5},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0757,"term":"attr:Front Beard","label":"Front Beard","sales_12m":38,"weighted_sales":11.3},{"pct":22.5,"beta":0.2029,"term":"attr:VR","label":"VR","sales_12m":24,"weighted_sales":3.6}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":23.95,"date":"2021-02-21","block":11897753,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":122,"adjusted_eth":36.392},{"eth":29,"date":"2021-02-28","block":11947009,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":178,"adjusted_eth":40.1325},{"eth":28,"date":"2021-03-03","block":11967077,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":144,"adjusted_eth":38.6958},{"eth":29.5,"date":"2021-03-12","block":12022417,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":89,"adjusted_eth":40.7873},{"eth":30.03,"date":"2021-04-12","block":12227574,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":109,"adjusted_eth":44.5394},{"eth":39,"date":"2021-07-31","block":12933875,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":151,"adjusted_eth":39.5202},{"eth":31.99,"date":"2026-09-10","block":25949110,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":163,"adjusted_eth":32.5034}],"comparables":[{"eth":29.65,"date":"2026-09-17","punk":5866,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3491,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.501,"date":"2026-09-05","punk":5866,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.8811,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.2,"date":"2026-04-28","punk":8788,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7049,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":28.89,"date":"2026-04-22","punk":5866,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.4005,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.44,"date":"2026-01-20","punk":6012,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":49.579,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":36.25,"date":"2025-11-09","punk":7839,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.4106,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":44.99,"date":"2025-10-18","punk":7839,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.0273,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":43.5,"date":"2025-07-17","punk":7075,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4904,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.1028,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Police Cap","sales_12m":29}],"summary":["Estimate 35.9 ETH (beta), 1σ range 32.4 to 39.8 ETH, 2σ range 29.2 to 44.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 05:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 05:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Mole -7%, Front Beard -7%, VR +23%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6669","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}