{"punk":6679,"name":"CryptoPunk #6679","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6679","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6679.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Chinstrap","Stringy Hair","Eye Patch"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":32.762,"usd":79385,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.2369,"high_eth":35.498,"low_usd":73266,"high_usd":86015},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.9063,"high_eth":38.4625,"low_usd":67619,"high_usd":93198},"sigma_log":0.0802,"multiple_of_floor":1.0781,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":32.762,"usd":79385,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.2369,"high_eth":35.498,"low_usd":73266,"high_usd":86015},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":27.9063,"high_eth":38.4625,"low_usd":67619,"high_usd":93198},"sigma_log":0.0802,"multiple_of_floor":1.0781,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":31,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T12:04:23.000Z","block":26355693,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1161,"age_minutes":31,"stale":false,"label":"as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":47,"ask_usd":105081,"z":4.5,"z_text":"4.5σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2025-10-17T20:39:59.000Z","days_listed":384},"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-5.3,"beta":-0.054,"term":"attr:Chinstrap","label":"Chinstrap","sales_12m":42,"weighted_sales":19.3},{"pct":-9.4,"beta":-0.0983,"term":"attr:Stringy Hair","label":"Stringy Hair","sales_12m":96,"weighted_sales":25.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":80,"date":"2022-07-14","block":15137642,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":94,"adjusted_eth":31.1972},{"eth":83.95,"date":"2022-07-16","block":15155872,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":296,"adjusted_eth":30.5904},{"eth":68,"date":"2022-12-13","block":16177615,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":121,"adjusted_eth":32.0391},{"eth":69.95,"date":"2023-03-06","block":16769737,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":102,"adjusted_eth":31.7328},{"eth":43,"date":"2023-07-03","block":17614646,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":153,"adjusted_eth":31.8724},{"eth":46,"date":"2023-07-04","block":17622313,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":82,"adjusted_eth":32.5178},{"eth":59,"date":"2023-12-04","block":18710544,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":174,"adjusted_eth":31.3244},{"eth":57,"date":"2023-12-19","block":18817488,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":266,"adjusted_eth":32.0783}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":9585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9696,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.49,"date":"2026-10-12","punk":4064,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.39,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.55,"date":"2026-09-24","punk":4064,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.3617,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.45,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7922,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.745,"date":"2026-09-21","punk":2505,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1203,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.99,"date":"2026-09-07","punk":1020,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":39.5496,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38,"date":"2026-08-23","punk":1717,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.1107,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.25,"date":"2026-08-20","punk":2505,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.24,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0115,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Eye Patch","sales_12m":74}],"summary":["Estimate 32.8 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.2 to 35.5 ETH, 2σ range 27.9 to 38.5 ETH, confidence High, as of 12:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 12:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, Chinstrap -5%, Stringy Hair -9%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6679","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}