{"punk":6746,"name":"CryptoPunk #6746","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6746","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6746.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":2,"attributes":["Shadow Beard","Mohawk Dark","Classic Shades"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":34.4483,"usd":83471,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.6176,"high_eth":37.5325,"low_usd":76612,"high_usd":90944},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.0195,"high_eth":40.8928,"low_usd":70317,"high_usd":99087},"sigma_log":0.0857,"multiple_of_floor":1.1335,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":34.4483,"usd":83471,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":31.6176,"high_eth":37.5325,"low_usd":76612,"high_usd":90944},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":29.0195,"high_eth":40.8928,"low_usd":70317,"high_usd":99087},"sigma_log":0.0857,"multiple_of_floor":1.1335,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":31,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T06:04:23.000Z","block":26353897,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":31,"stale":false,"label":"as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":10.1,"beta":0.0958,"term":"tone2","label":"Skin tone 2 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":88.6},{"pct":-7.6,"beta":-0.0795,"term":"attr:Mohawk Dark","label":"Mohawk Dark","sales_12m":53,"weighted_sales":13.5}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":149,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13115805,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":19,"adjusted_eth":32.8846},{"eth":85,"date":"2022-06-20","block":14999002,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":65,"adjusted_eth":37.7102},{"eth":0,"date":"2023-05-05","block":17195355,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":50,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":0,"date":"2023-05-05","block":17195355,"source":"native-buy","excluded":"no-price","log_index":54,"adjusted_eth":null},{"eth":62.25,"date":"2023-07-12","block":17677880,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":201,"adjusted_eth":37.4981},{"eth":51.5,"date":"2025-03-12","block":22033281,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":192,"adjusted_eth":41.41},{"eth":40,"date":"2025-10-22","block":23635369,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":370,"adjusted_eth":31.1692},{"eth":45,"date":"2025-10-25","block":23652083,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":289,"adjusted_eth":35.1555}],"comparables":[{"eth":46.5,"date":"2026-09-19","punk":5034,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":47.5963,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32,"date":"2026-03-19","punk":9002,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.5569,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.75,"date":"2026-02-06","punk":9119,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.349,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.1,"date":"2025-11-27","punk":2528,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":34.3145,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48.9022,"date":"2025-10-06","punk":8948,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.5162,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":64,"date":"2025-05-26","punk":8619,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":41.5679,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":62.42,"date":"2025-04-17","punk":8619,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":45.1653,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":45.45,"date":"2025-04-05","punk":791,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":32.4307,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0617,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Shadow Beard","sales_12m":55},{"attribute":"Classic Shades","sales_12m":64}],"summary":["Estimate 34.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 31.6 to 37.5 ETH, 2σ range 29.0 to 40.9 ETH, confidence High, as of 06:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 06:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 2 (vs 1) +10%, Mohawk Dark -8%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6746","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}