{"punk":6913,"name":"CryptoPunk #6913","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6913","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6913.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":3,"attributes":["Stringy Hair","Eye Patch"],"attribute_count":2,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":33.3596,"usd":80833,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.753,"high_eth":36.1871,"low_usd":74517,"high_usd":87684},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.35,"high_eth":39.2543,"low_usd":68694,"high_usd":95116},"sigma_log":0.0814,"multiple_of_floor":1.0977,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":33.3596,"usd":80833,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":30.753,"high_eth":36.1871,"low_usd":74517,"high_usd":87684},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":28.35,"high_eth":39.2543,"low_usd":68694,"high_usd":95116},"sigma_log":0.0814,"multiple_of_floor":1.0977,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"High","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","block":26354496,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T08:04:35.000Z","block":26354496,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1162,"age_minutes":43,"stale":false,"label":"as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":745,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":12.6,"beta":0.1184,"term":"tone3","label":"Skin tone 3 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":66.5},{"pct":-3.5,"beta":-0.0359,"term":"count2","label":"2 attributes (vs 3)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":101.6},{"pct":-9.4,"beta":-0.0983,"term":"attr:Stringy Hair","label":"Stringy Hair","sales_12m":96,"weighted_sales":25.2}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":14.5,"date":"2021-05-24","block":12498107,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":376,"adjusted_eth":29.377},{"eth":15.97,"date":"2021-06-17","block":12653853,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":67,"adjusted_eth":31.7208},{"eth":17.63,"date":"2021-07-06","block":12773946,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":17,"adjusted_eth":29.7653},{"eth":18.47,"date":"2021-07-09","block":12790239,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":191,"adjusted_eth":30.39},{"eth":33,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12936724,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":29,"adjusted_eth":30.622},{"eth":34,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12939476,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":46,"adjusted_eth":31.5499},{"eth":31.47,"date":"2021-08-02","block":12947320,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":156,"adjusted_eth":28.7631},{"eth":120,"date":"2021-08-28","block":13113599,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":63,"adjusted_eth":26.4843},{"eth":99.94,"date":"2021-10-30","block":13519625,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":39,"adjusted_eth":30.1009},{"eth":53.8,"date":"2021-12-22","block":13856126,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":58,"adjusted_eth":30.3731},{"eth":68,"date":"2022-10-17","block":15768784,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":100,"adjusted_eth":31.0381},{"eth":70.5,"date":"2022-10-30","block":15861826,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":7,"adjusted_eth":32.9108},{"eth":47.93,"date":"2023-07-31","block":17813468,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":125,"adjusted_eth":30.3837},{"eth":30.48,"date":"2024-09-25","block":20827105,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":164,"adjusted_eth":33.0817}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.99,"date":"2026-11-02","punk":9585,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.9696,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34.45,"date":"2026-09-23","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.7922,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":38.99,"date":"2026-09-07","punk":1020,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":39.5496,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.45,"date":"2026-08-05","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.1917,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.49,"date":"2026-07-26","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.4221,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.101,"date":"2026-07-14","punk":4059,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":28.2075,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":49,"date":"2025-10-08","punk":1020,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.716,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":41,"date":"2025-07-09","punk":6193,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.6735,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.0296,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Eye Patch","sales_12m":74}],"summary":["Estimate 33.4 ETH (beta), 1σ range 30.8 to 36.2 ETH, 2σ range 28.4 to 39.3 ETH, confidence High, as of 08:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 08:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 3 (vs 1) +13%, 2 attributes (vs 3) -4%, Stringy Hair -9%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6913","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}