{"punk":6989,"name":"CryptoPunk #6989","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/6989","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/6989.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":1,"attributes":["Silver Chain","Front Beard Dark","Frumpy Hair"],"attribute_count":3,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-05","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-06T00:20:36.384Z","fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"estimate":{"eth":29.1255,"usd":70573,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.4596,"high_eth":32.0601,"low_usd":64114,"high_usd":77684},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":24.0376,"high_eth":35.2904,"low_usd":58245,"high_usd":85512},"sigma_log":0.096,"multiple_of_floor":0.9584,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":29.1255,"usd":70573,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":26.4596,"high_eth":32.0601,"low_usd":64114,"high_usd":77684},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":24.0376,"high_eth":35.2904,"low_usd":58245,"high_usd":85512},"sigma_log":0.096,"multiple_of_floor":0.9584,"n1_eth":32.3864,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 2-3","floor_eth":30.39,"fingerprint_sha256":"28fb24ec0a4377e5ef5227eb5d7b42a3750c93b8b338f0430ec1b75165a89dc1"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","block":26352999,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"eth_usd":2423.081896592348,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-06T03:04:35.000Z","block":26352999,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":49,"stale":false,"label":"as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-06","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":null,"argument":{"cell":"Male 2-3","terms":[{"pct":4.6,"beta":0.0454,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.0756,"term":"attr:Front Beard Dark","label":"Front Beard Dark","sales_12m":35,"weighted_sales":13.3},{"pct":-7.3,"beta":-0.076,"term":"attr:Frumpy Hair","label":"Frumpy Hair","sales_12m":59,"weighted_sales":19.8}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 2-3","seen":{"n":1435,"cover1":0.708,"cover2":0.933,"bias_pct":-0.7,"within10":0.745,"within25":0.947,"MdALE_pct":5.7},"thin":false,"sigma":0.08,"selection":{"n":1945,"cover1":0.69,"cover2":0.939,"bias_pct":-1.3,"within10":0.719,"within25":0.96,"MdALE_pct":6.1}},"own_sales":[{"eth":0.8,"date":"2020-05-14","block":10063956,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":16,"adjusted_eth":34.7315},{"eth":1.6,"date":"2020-05-26","block":10141682,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":54,"adjusted_eth":39.2129},{"eth":3.7,"date":"2020-09-26","block":10940896,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":40,"adjusted_eth":37.481},{"eth":14.5,"date":"2021-02-20","block":11895260,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":61,"adjusted_eth":32.5447},{"eth":24.88,"date":"2021-02-27","block":11940656,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":145,"adjusted_eth":34.3683},{"eth":16.101,"date":"2021-06-30","block":12736530,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":245,"adjusted_eth":28.1374},{"eth":17.35,"date":"2021-06-30","block":12737396,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":182,"adjusted_eth":30.3201},{"eth":18.5,"date":"2021-07-04","block":12763748,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":66,"adjusted_eth":31.4966},{"eth":38.2,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12936684,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":35.4473},{"eth":34.2,"date":"2021-08-01","block":12941483,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":63,"adjusted_eth":31.7355},{"eth":38,"date":"2021-08-04","block":12955809,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":162,"adjusted_eth":33.4827},{"eth":42,"date":"2021-08-05","block":12965984,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":454,"adjusted_eth":28.7214},{"eth":49.99,"date":"2021-08-06","block":12969218,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":107,"adjusted_eth":31.004},{"eth":50,"date":"2021-08-19","block":13052793,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":22,"adjusted_eth":31.182}],"comparables":[{"eth":30.4,"date":"2026-10-15","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.8114,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.31,"date":"2026-10-08","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":29.0538,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.25,"date":"2026-09-22","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":31.1584,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":32.42,"date":"2026-08-21","punk":5098,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.3619,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":34,"date":"2026-03-23","punk":6771,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":36.2802,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":140,"date":"2025-08-05","punk":9797,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":82.6136,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":48,"date":"2025-07-20","punk":9618,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.8724,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46,"date":"2025-04-08","punk":3875,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.8309,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":-0.1061,"type_multiple":{"sales":772,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0657,"median_multiple":1.0657},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Silver Chain","sales_12m":20}],"summary":["Estimate 29.1 ETH (beta), 1σ range 26.5 to 32.1 ETH, 2σ range 24.0 to 35.3 ETH, confidence Low, as of 03:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-05).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 03:04 UTC; 30.4 ETH at the close of 2026-11-05.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (772 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Front Beard Dark -7%, Frumpy Hair -7%.","In the backtest, Male 2-3 sales landed within ±6.1% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.7% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/6989","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}