{"punk":7065,"name":"CryptoPunk #7065","url":"https://punkprice.com/punk/7065","image":"https://punkprice.com/api/punk-image/7065.svg","type":"Male","skin_tone":4,"attributes":["Normal Beard Black","Messy Hair","Vape","Big Shades"],"attribute_count":4,"model":{"version":"est-v2-202610","beta":true,"label":"Valuation (beta), not a floor","spec_sha256":"1cf27321b403ea86f6972db116008f450d113e635f10c03d21207a83f7bfb63f","method":"https://punkprice.com/about#estimate","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/track-record","rule":"N1 (floor x type median multiple of the last 12 months) plus, for Female and Male punks, only the attribute, skin tone, attribute count and drift terms whose 95% interval excludes zero (per-type weighted ridge, Huber loss, half-life 90 days). Zombie, Ape, Alien: weighted median multiple of all their sales (half-life 2 years). Bands: floor x exp(log estimate +- k sigma), sigma = sqrt(s_cell^2 + (0.5 x premium)^2).","caveats":["Female estimates sit close to the floor: in the backtest the plain type multiple was the better median guess for Female punks.","Punks with 0 or 1 attributes, and Zombie, Ape and Alien punks, have few sales; their bands are wide and their confidence is Low.","Trained on native CryptoPunks marketplace sales only; wrapped-punk sales are not included yet."]},"as_of":{"date":"2026-11-04","note":"Fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04 UTC. `estimate` is valued at the latest exact floor (`fresh_floor`, refreshed hourly); `daily` is valued at that day's closing floor and is the one the track record scores.","written_at":"2026-11-05T00:20:43.410Z","fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"estimate":{"eth":40.5948,"usd":92297,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":35.1534,"high_eth":46.8783,"low_usd":79926,"high_usd":106584},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.4415,"high_eth":54.1346,"low_usd":69213,"high_usd":123082},"sigma_log":0.1439,"multiple_of_floor":1.3358,"n1_eth":32.3769,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":30.39,"floor_as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","basis":"hourly floor"},"daily":{"date":"2026-11-04","eth":40.0605,"usd":91083,"band_1sigma":{"low_eth":34.6907,"high_eth":46.2613,"low_usd":78874,"high_usd":105181},"band_2sigma":{"low_eth":30.0408,"high_eth":53.4221,"low_usd":68302,"high_usd":121462},"sigma_log":0.1439,"multiple_of_floor":1.3358,"n1_eth":31.9507,"confidence":"Low","cell":"Male 4+","floor_eth":29.99,"fingerprint_sha256":"3481057d321702992d48e1d2137f91c25ef6c1076787f042b28adb0686e4e119"},"fresh_floor":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":38,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"floor":{"as_of_date":"2026-11-04","eth":29.99,"eth_usd":2273.6272778684292,"latest":{"date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39},"current":{"source":"hourly","as_of":"2026-11-05T22:04:35.000Z","block":26351503,"eth":30.39,"punk":3425,"public_asks":1163,"age_minutes":38,"stale":false,"label":"as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH","stale_note":null},"type_floor":{"type":"Male","date":"2026-11-05","eth":30.39,"public_asks":744,"punk":3425}},"listing":{"ask_eth":94.86,"ask_usd":229854,"z":5.9,"z_text":"5.9σ above the estimate","listed_since":"2022-09-18T05:02:11.000Z","days_listed":1509},"argument":{"cell":"Male 4+","terms":[{"pct":4.7,"beta":0.0457,"term":"drift","label":"Male market level","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":null},{"pct":19.8,"beta":0.1805,"term":"tone4","label":"Skin tone 4 (vs 1)","sales_12m":null,"weighted_sales":25.9}],"backtest":{"cell":"Male 4+","seen":{"n":276,"cover1":0.736,"cover2":0.931,"bias_pct":1,"within10":0.71,"within25":0.928,"MdALE_pct":5.6},"thin":false,"sigma":0.089,"selection":{"n":293,"cover1":0.683,"cover2":0.932,"bias_pct":1.1,"within10":0.662,"within25":0.949,"MdALE_pct":6.9}},"own_sales":[{"eth":5,"date":"2020-09-24","block":10927792,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":28,"adjusted_eth":56.5849},{"eth":31.5,"date":"2021-07-15","block":12832401,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":263,"adjusted_eth":47.9536},{"eth":44.96,"date":"2021-07-26","block":12902561,"source":"native-buy","excluded":null,"log_index":243,"adjusted_eth":61.3165},{"eth":80,"date":"2021-08-11","block":13004477,"source":"native-bid","excluded":null,"log_index":130,"adjusted_eth":51.3967}],"comparables":[{"eth":50,"date":"2026-05-19","punk":8344,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":44.1289,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":39.25,"date":"2026-04-03","punk":8833,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":42.8351,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":31.5,"date":"2026-03-30","punk":8205,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":32.5978,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":30.2,"date":"2026-03-23","punk":8205,"source":"native-bid","adjusted_eth":31.8012,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":46.25,"date":"2026-02-23","punk":9762,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":46.4514,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":33.5,"date":"2025-12-22","punk":8833,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":37.2374,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":54,"date":"2025-07-30","punk":8798,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":30.0791,"shared_attributes":2},{"eth":58.88,"date":"2025-07-29","punk":9779,"source":"native-buy","adjusted_eth":33.3298,"shared_attributes":2}],"premium_log":0.2262,"type_multiple":{"sales":778,"period":"12 months","multiple":1.0654,"median_multiple":1.0654},"no_clear_premium":[{"attribute":"Normal Beard Black","sales_12m":21},{"attribute":"Messy Hair","sales_12m":48},{"attribute":"Vape","sales_12m":51},{"attribute":"Big Shades","sales_12m":81}],"summary":["Estimate 40.6 ETH (beta), 1σ range 35.2 to 46.9 ETH, 2σ range 30.4 to 54.1 ETH, confidence Low, as of 22:04 UTC, floor 30.39 ETH (fitted on sales up to the end of 2026-11-04).","Floor 30.4 ETH at 22:04 UTC; 30.0 ETH at the close of 2026-11-04.","Male punks sold at a median 1.07x the floor of the day before (778 sales, 12 months).","Terms with clear support: Male market level +5%, Skin tone 4 (vs 1) +20%.","In the backtest, Male 4+ sales landed within ±6.9% of the estimate half the time (2023-2024) and within ±5.6% in 2025-2026 (months already seen in round 1)."]},"track_record":[],"cite_as":"PunkPrice (2026). CryptoPunks per-punk estimates (beta), model est-v2-202610, from CryptoPunks marketplace sales. https://punkprice.com/punk/7065","license":"CC BY 4.0","disclaimer":"Valuation (beta) from public marketplace sales: not an appraisal and not financial advice. It can be wrong, so read the range, not only the number.","links":{"listings":"https://punkprice.com/listings","backtest":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/backtest.json","track_record":"https://punkprice.com/api/estimate/track-record.json"}}